Major League Soccer

Jul 18, 2024 at 12.30am UK

Mercedes-Benz Stadium

Atlanta
2 - 2
NY City

Rios (1', 1'), Lobzhanidze (38', 38')
Muyumba (61'), Muyumba (61'), Lennon (86'), Lennon (86'), Brennan (90+5'), Brennan (90+5')

FT(HT: 4-0)

Bakrar (65', 65'), Magno (82' pen., 82' pen.)
Haak (77'), Haak (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and New York City FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atlanta United

All competitions

Last Game: Montreal 1-0 Atlanta
Sunday, July 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

New York City FC

All competitions

Last Game: Chicago Fire 0-0 NY City
Sunday, July 14 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 51.45%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 25.53% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.77%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 1-2 (6.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Atlanta United	Draw	New York City FC
51.45% ( 0.05)	23.01% ( -0.07)	25.53% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 58.89% (

0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.37% (

0.36)

41.63% (

-0.35)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.97% (

0.36)

64.03% (

-0.36)

Atlanta United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.73% (

0.15)

16.28% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.18% (

0.27)

45.82% (

-0.26)

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.34% (

0.21)

29.67% (

-0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.29% (

0.26)

65.71% (

-0.25)

Score Analysis

Atlanta United 51.45%

New York City FC 25.54%

Draw 23.01%

Atlanta United	Draw	New York City FC
2-1 @ 9.67% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.77% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 7.96% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 5.85% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 4.82% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.56% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.66% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.19% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.61% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.42% Total : 51.45%	1-1 @ 10.65% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.88% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 4.83% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.01%	1-2 @ 6.47% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.87% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.38% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.44% ( 0) Other @ 3.19% Total : 25.54%