Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 44.35%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 30.37% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 0-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Chicago Fire | Draw | New York City FC |
| 44.35% ( | 25.28% | 30.37% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.96% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.52% ( | 48.48% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.39% ( | 70.61% ( |
| Chicago Fire Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.15% ( | 21.85% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.92% ( | 55.08% ( |
| New York City FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.33% ( | 29.67% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.28% ( | 65.72% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Chicago Fire | Draw | New York City FC |
| 1-0 @ 9.86% ( 2-1 @ 9.11% ( 2-0 @ 7.5% 3-1 @ 4.62% ( 3-0 @ 3.8% ( 3-2 @ 2.81% ( 4-1 @ 1.76% ( 4-0 @ 1.45% ( 4-2 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.38% Total : 44.35% | 1-1 @ 11.98% 0-0 @ 6.48% ( 2-2 @ 5.54% 3-3 @ 1.14% ( Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.28% | 0-1 @ 7.88% ( 1-2 @ 7.28% 0-2 @ 4.78% ( 1-3 @ 2.95% 2-3 @ 2.24% 0-3 @ 1.94% Other @ 3.31% Total : 30.38% |