Major League Soccer

Jul 21, 2024 at 12.30am UK

Mercedes-Benz Stadium

Atlanta
2 - 1
Columbus Crew

Rode Gregersen (60', 60', 77', 77')
Muyumba (25'), Muyumba (25'), Guzan (90+7'), Guzan (90+7')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Rossi (36', 36')
Cheberko (29'), Cheberko (29')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and Columbus Crew, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atlanta United

All competitions

Last Game: Atlanta 2-2 NY City
Thursday, July 18 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Columbus Crew

All competitions

Last Game: Columbus Crew 1-1 Charlotte FC
Thursday, July 18 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 42.84%. A win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 35.05% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.48%) and 3-1 (5.25%). The likeliest Columbus Crew win was 1-2 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Atlanta United in this match.

Result
Atlanta United	Draw	Columbus Crew
42.84% ( -3.94)	22.1% ( 0.52)	35.05% ( 3.42)

Both teams to score 68.43% (

-0.59)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.32% (

-1.32)

31.67% (

1.31)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.82% (

-1.56)

53.18% (

1.56)

Atlanta United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.38% (

-1.9)

15.62% (

1.89)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.38% (

-3.63)

44.62% (

3.63)

Columbus Crew Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.09% (

1.09)

18.9% (

-1.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.6% (

1.78)

50.39% (

-1.79)

Score Analysis

Atlanta United 42.84%

Columbus Crew 35.05%

Draw 22.1%

Atlanta United	Draw	Columbus Crew
2-1 @ 8.48% ( -0.23) 1-0 @ 5.48% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.25% ( -0.52) 2-0 @ 5.09% ( -0.32) 3-2 @ 4.37% ( -0.27) 3-0 @ 3.15% ( -0.43) 4-1 @ 2.44% ( -0.43) 4-2 @ 2.03% ( -0.28) 4-0 @ 1.46% ( -0.32) 4-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.11) 5-1 @ 0.9% ( -0.23) Other @ 3.07% Total : 42.84%	1-1 @ 9.13% ( 0.36) 2-2 @ 7.06% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 2.95% ( 0.21) 3-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.53% Total : 22.1%	1-2 @ 7.61% ( 0.54) 0-1 @ 4.92% ( 0.5) 1-3 @ 4.22% ( 0.43) 0-2 @ 4.1% ( 0.54) 2-3 @ 3.92% ( 0.16) 0-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.37) 1-4 @ 1.76% ( 0.23) 2-4 @ 1.63% ( 0.12) 3-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.18) Other @ 2.66% Total : 35.05%