Liga MX | Gameweek 5
Aug 25, 2024 at 12am UK
Estadio Victoria de Aguascalientes

Necaxa
3 - 0
Juarez

Paradela (29' pen., 29' pen.), Montes (70', 70'), Badaloni (78', 78')
Palavecino (74'), Palavecino (74')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Salcedo (29'), Salcedo (29'), Orquin (34'), Orquin (34'), Campillo (55'), Campillo (55'), Venegas (77'), Venegas (77')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Necaxa and Juarez.

Form, Standings, Stats

Necaxa

All competitions
Liga MX
Last Game: Earthquakes 5-0 Necaxa
Friday, August 9 at 4am in Leagues Cup

Juarez

All competitions
Liga MX
Last Game: Juarez 2-3 Colorado
Saturday, August 10 at 2.30am in Leagues Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Necaxa win with a probability of 38.69%. A win for Juarez had a probability of 36.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Necaxa win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.04%) and 2-0 (5.95%). The likeliest Juarez win was 1-2 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Necaxa would win this match.

Result
NecaxaDrawJuarez
38.69% (-0.172 -0.17)24.7% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)36.61% (0.19 0.19)
Both teams to score 58.82% (0.074999999999996 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.71% (0.088000000000001 0.09)44.29% (-0.086999999999996 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.34% (0.084000000000003 0.08)66.66% (-0.083999999999989 -0.08)
Necaxa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.24% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)22.76% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.55% (-0.073 -0.07)56.45% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Juarez Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.15% (0.143 0.14)23.85% (-0.142 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.96% (0.204 0.2)58.04% (-0.203 -0.2)
Score Analysis
    Necaxa 38.69%
    Juarez 36.61%
    Draw 24.7%
NecaxaDrawJuarez
2-1 @ 8.52% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-0 @ 8.04% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-0 @ 5.95% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.21% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.01% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 2.93% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.56% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.12% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.09% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 38.69%
1-1 @ 11.51% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.11% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.43% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.44% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.7%
1-2 @ 8.26% (0.026000000000002 0.03)
0-1 @ 7.78% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 5.58% (0.025 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.94% (0.028 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.92% (0.017 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.67% (0.023 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.41% (0.016 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.05% (0.01 0.01)
0-4 @ 0.96% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 36.61%

Head to Head
Feb 3, 2024 11.06pm
Gameweek 5
Juarez
2-2
Necaxa
Santos (6', 63')
Calvo (67'), Saucedo (80')
Paradela (31'), Mendez (90+7')
Garnica (76'), Mendez (85'), Cortez (90+2')
Sep 17, 2023 12am
Gameweek 8
Necaxa
1-1
Juarez
Batista (16' pen.)
Jurado (26'), Arce (43'), Andrade Rivera (45+6'), Poggi (90+6'), Gudino (90+7')
Chancellor (45+8' og.)
Zapata (18'), Hurtado (35'), Mosquera (90+7')
Mar 13, 2023 3.15am
Gameweek 11
Juarez
1-1
Necaxa
Molina (68')
Mendez (52')
Jul 23, 2022 3.05am
Gameweek 4
Necaxa
1-0
Juarez
Mendez (21'), Gimenez (43'), Esquivel (59'), Poggi (90+1'), Malagon (90+5')
Mendez (72')
Acosta (45+1'), Salas (70')
Acosta (80')
Jan 8, 2022 1am
Gameweek 1
Juarez
2-1
Necaxa

Alvarado (18'), Acosta (63'), Gomez (83'), Esquivel (90+3'), Garcia (90+6'), Olivera (90+9')
Alvarado (47' og.)
Zendejas (23'), Villalpando (35'), Malagon (48'), Oliveros (90+10')
Malagon (50')
rhs 2.0


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