Liga MX | Gameweek 3
Jul 18, 2024 at 2.06am UK
Estadio Olimpico Benito Juarez

Juarez
1 - 2
Pumas

Campillo (32', 32')
Calvo (45'), Edson (45+3'), Calvo (45'), Edson (45+3'), Caicedo (51'), Villalpando (51'), Mosquera (51'), Ortega (75'), Villalpando (75')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Jesus Rico Reyes (66', 66'), Lopez (80', 80')
Rivas (34'), Rivas (34'), Silva (37'), Silva (37'), Caicedo (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Liga MX clash between Juarez and Pumas, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Toluca 3-2 Juarez
Sunday, July 14 at 2.10am in Liga MX
Last Game: Santos Laguna 1-1 Pumas
Sunday, July 14 at 2.25am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pumas win with a probability of 38.06%. A win for Juarez had a probability of 35.85% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pumas win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest Juarez win was 1-0 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pumas would win this match.

Result
JuarezDrawPumas
35.85% (0.449 0.45)26.08% (0.212 0.21)38.06% (-0.662 -0.66)
Both teams to score 53.93% (-0.67 -0.67)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.46% (-0.88 -0.88)50.54% (0.878 0.88)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.54% (-0.784 -0.78)72.46% (0.782 0.78)
Juarez Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.81% (-0.15300000000001 -0.15)27.19% (0.151 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.4% (-0.2 -0.2)62.6% (0.198 0.2)
Pumas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.07% (-0.76599999999999 -0.77)25.93% (0.764 0.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.07% (-1.045 -1.04)60.92% (1.043 1.04)
Score Analysis
    Juarez 35.85%
    Pumas 38.06%
    Draw 26.08%
JuarezDrawPumas
1-0 @ 9.18% (0.282 0.28)
2-1 @ 8.07% (0.041 0.04)
2-0 @ 5.98% (0.159 0.16)
3-1 @ 3.5% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-0 @ 2.6% (0.058 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.36% (-0.051 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.14% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 35.85%
1-1 @ 12.39% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 7.05% (0.246 0.25)
2-2 @ 5.45% (-0.093 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.06% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 26.08%
0-1 @ 9.52% (0.129 0.13)
1-2 @ 8.37% (-0.106 -0.11)
0-2 @ 6.42% (-0.053 -0.05)
1-3 @ 3.76% (-0.132 -0.13)
0-3 @ 2.89% (-0.089 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.45% (-0.097 -0.1)
1-4 @ 1.27% (-0.074 -0.07)
0-4 @ 0.98% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 38.06%

How you voted: Juarez vs Pumas

Juarez
0.0%
Draw
25.0%
Pumas
75.0%
8
Head to Head
Jan 14, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 1
Pumas
1-0
Juarez
Salvio (69')
Salvio (70')
Silva (81')

Abella (36'), Hurtado (44'), Garcia (45')
Aug 23, 2023 4.06am
Gameweek 5
Juarez
4-1
Pumas
Ormeno (12' pen.), Campillo Del Campo (33'), Garcia (39'), Hurtado (81' pen.)
Salas (30'), Rodriguez (36'), Talavera (58'), Nevarez (90+5')
Huerta (57')
Aldrete (24'), Alfonso Monroy Reyes (28')
Jan 8, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 1
Pumas
2-1
Juarez
Salvio (77'), Dinenno (87' pen.)
Medina (30')
Oct 1, 2022 3am
Gameweek 17
Juarez
3-1
Pumas
Apr 3, 2022 4am
Gameweek 12
Juarez
0-1
Pumas

Garcia (59')
Diogo (76')
Freire (40'), Corozo (48')
rhs 2.0


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