Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pumas win with a probability of 38.06%. A win for Juarez had a probability of 35.85% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pumas win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest Juarez win was 1-0 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pumas would win this match.