Liga MX | Gameweek 11
Oct 6, 2024 at 12am UK
Estadio Azteca

Cruz Azul
3 - 0
Necaxa

Gutierrez (8', 8'), Rotondi (18', 18'), Faravelli (63', 63')
FT(HT: 4-0)
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Cruz Azul and Necaxa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cruz Azul

All competitions
Last Game: Pachuca 2-4 Cruz Azul
Sunday, September 29 at 2.05am in Liga MX

Necaxa

All competitions
Last Game: Queretaro 0-0 Necaxa
Saturday, September 28 at 2am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 61.55%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Necaxa had a probability of 16.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.09%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.28%), while for a Necaxa win it was 0-1 (5.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cruz Azul would win this match.

Result
Cruz AzulDrawNecaxa
61.55% (-0.46 -0.46)21.62% (0.145 0.15)16.83% (0.318 0.32)
Both teams to score 50.3% (0.20200000000001 0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.32% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)46.69% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.05% (-0.067 -0.07)68.95% (0.072000000000003 0.07)
Cruz Azul Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.35% (-0.167 -0.17)14.65% (0.17 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.22% (-0.326 -0.33)42.78% (0.328 0.33)
Necaxa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.93% (0.354 0.35)41.07% (-0.35 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.38% (0.311 0.31)77.62% (-0.30800000000001 -0.31)
Score Analysis
    Cruz Azul 61.54%
    Necaxa 16.83%
    Draw 21.62%
Cruz AzulDrawNecaxa
1-0 @ 11.55% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 11.09% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-1 @ 9.88% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
3-0 @ 7.11% (-0.108 -0.11)
3-1 @ 6.32% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-0 @ 3.41% (-0.072 -0.07)
4-1 @ 3.04% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.81% (0.012 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.35% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 1.31% (-0.036 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.17% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 61.54%
1-1 @ 10.28% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
0-0 @ 6.02% (0.018999999999999 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.4% (0.045 0.04)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 21.62%
0-1 @ 5.35% (0.068 0.07)
1-2 @ 4.58% (0.074 0.07)
0-2 @ 2.38% (0.053 0.05)
1-3 @ 1.36% (0.034 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.3% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 16.83%

Head to Head
Mar 16, 2024 11pm
Gameweek 12
Cruz Azul
1-2
Necaxa
Rotondi (9')
Lira (61'), Faravelli (76'), Rivero (90+2'), Rotondi (90+6')
Cambindo (12'), Paradela (28')
Pena (52'), Garnica (90+6')
Oct 5, 2023 2am
Gameweek 11
Necaxa
1-3
Cruz Azul
Batista (55' pen.)
Monreal (71')
Sepulveda (21', 90+2', 90+10')
Rivero (88'), Sepulveda (90+12')
Jan 22, 2023 3.10am
Gameweek 3
Necaxa
1-0
Cruz Azul
Jul 30, 2022 11pm
Gameweek 6
Cruz Azul
1-0
Necaxa
Morales (38')
Martinez (56'), Romero (84'), Jurado (90+7')

Garnica (40'), Oliveros (43'), Araos (54'), Pena (67')
May 7, 2022 11.45pm
Cruz Azul
1-1
Necaxa
(Aggregate 1-1 | Cruz Azul win 3-1 on penalties)
Escobar (56')
Aguirre (89')