Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 61.55%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Necaxa had a probability of 16.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.09%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.28%), while for a Necaxa win it was 0-1 (5.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cruz Azul would win this match.