Liga MX | Gameweek 10

Sep 29, 2024 at 2.05am UK

Estadio Hidalgo

Pachuca
2 - 4
Cruz Azul

Adrian Hernandez Hernandez (12', 12'), Rondon (42', 42')
Almada (10'), Almada (10'), Cabral (45+5'), Barreto (45+7'), Cabral (45+5'), Barreto (45+7'), Berlanga (86'), Berlanga (86')

FT(HT: 4-2)

Giakoumakis (45+1', 45+1', 55', 55'), Faravelli (66', 66'), Sepulveda (90+1', 90+1')
Rotondi (9'), Rotondi (9'), Rivero (21'), Rivero (21'), Piovi (59'), Piovi (59')

Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Pachuca and Cruz Azul.

Form, Standings, Stats

Pachuca

All competitions

Last Game: Puebla 2-3 Pachuca
Saturday, September 21 at 2am in Liga MX

Goals
for

Cruz Azul

All competitions

Last Game: Cruz Azul 1-0 Guadalajara
Sunday, September 22 at 4.05am in Liga MX

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 46.71%. A win for Pachuca had a probability of 27.04% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.11%) and 0-2 (8.7%). The likeliest Pachuca win was 1-0 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cruz Azul would win this match.

Result
Pachuca	Draw	Cruz Azul
27.04% ( -0.41)	26.24% ( -0.24)	46.71% ( 0.65)

Both teams to score 49.84% (

0.43)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.84% (

0.69)

54.16% (

-0.7)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.43% (

0.58)

75.57% (

-0.58)

Pachuca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.87% (

0.04)

35.12% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.12% (

0.04)

71.88% (

-0.05)

Cruz Azul Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.83% (

0.61)

23.16% (

-0.61)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.95% (

0.88)

57.04% (

-0.88)

Score Analysis

Pachuca 27.05%

Cruz Azul 46.71%

Draw 26.24%

Pachuca	Draw	Cruz Azul
1-0 @ 8.51% ( -0.22) 2-1 @ 6.51% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 4.45% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 2.27% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.66% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.55% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.08% Total : 27.05%	1-1 @ 12.45% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 8.14% ( -0.22) 2-2 @ 4.76% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.89% Total : 26.24%	0-1 @ 11.9% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 9.11% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 8.7% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 4.44% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 4.24% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 1.62% ( 0.07) 0-4 @ 1.55% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.83% Total : 46.71%