Pachuca

2 - 2

Toluca

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 47%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 28.82% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest Toluca win was 1-2 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.