Liga MX Gameweek 8
Pachuca
Sep 18, 2024 2.00am
2
2
HT : 0 3
FT Estadio Hidalgo
Toluca
  • Jorge Berlanga 41' yellowcard
  • Jorge Berlanga 41' yellowcard
  • Jorge Berlanga 41' yellowcard
  • Sergio Adrian Hernandez Hernandez 57' goal
  • Sergio Adrian Hernandez Hernandez 57' goal
  • Sergio Adrian Hernandez Hernandez 57' goal
  • Owen Gonzalez 68' goal
  • Owen Gonzalez 68' goal
  • Owen Gonzalez 68' goal
  • Jorge Berlanga 81' redcard
  • Jorge Berlanga 81' redcard
  • Jorge Berlanga 81' redcard
  • yellowcard Claudio Baeza 37'
  • yellowcard Claudio Baeza 37'
  • yellowcard Claudio Baeza 37'
  • goal Alexis Vega 45'
  • goal Alexis Vega 45'
  • goal Alexis Vega 45'
  • yellowcard Victor Arteaga 55'
  • yellowcard Victor Arteaga 55'
  • yellowcard Victor Arteaga 55'
  • goal Anderson Duarte 79'
  • goal Anderson Duarte 79'
  • goal Anderson Duarte 79'
  • yellowcard Isaias Violante 90'
  • yellowcard <TBD> 90'
  • yellowcard Isaias Violante 90'
  • yellowcard <TBD> 90'
  • yellowcard Alexis Vega 90'
  • yellowcard Isaias Violante 90'
  • yellowcard Frankie Amaya 90'+1'

Pachuca vs Toluca - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Pachuca

All competitions
Last game
Sep 14, 2024 2.00am
Atlas 2 - 0 Pachuca
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Salomon Rondon

Toluca

All competitions
Last game
Sep 14, 2024 11.45pm
Toluca 4 - 0 Tijuana
Goals scored
89
Top scorer
Paulinho

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 47%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 28.82% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest Toluca win was 1-2 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result

Pachuca 47% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 24.19% ▼ (-0.01)
Toluca 28.82% ▼ (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.66% ▼ (-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.48% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 44.51% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 3.5 33.12% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 66.88% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 4.5 16.88% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 4.5 83.12% ▲ (+0.02)

Pachuca Goals

Over 0.5 80.92% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 19.07% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 49.32% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 50.67% ▼ (-0.02)

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5 71.25% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 0.5 28.74% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 1.5 35.42% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 64.58% ▲ (+0.05)

Score analysis

Pachuca 47%
Draw 24.18%
Toluca 28.82%
Pachuca
2-1 @ 9.38% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 9.08% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.53% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.18% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.16% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.23% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.15% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.72% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.34%
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 47%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.32%
2-2 @ 5.85% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.48% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.34% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.18%
Toluca
1-2 @ 7.06% ▼ (-0.01)
0-1 @ 6.84% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.26% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.93% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.43% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.77% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 28.82%

Head to Head

Liga MX Gameweek 13
Pachuca
Mar 31, 2024 3.00am
2
3
HT : 2 6
FT Estadio Hidalgo
Toluca
  • Miguel Rodriguez 3' goal
  • Miguel Rodriguez 3' goal
  • Sergio Barreto 31' yellowcard
  • Sergio Barreto 31' yellowcard
  • Guillermo Almada 32' yellowcard
  • Salomon Rondon 36' yellowcard
  • Salomon Rondon 36' yellowcard
  • Carlos Sanchez 39' yellowcard
  • Carlos Sanchez 39' yellowcard
  • Bryan Gonzalez 82' goal
  • Bryan Gonzalez 82' goal
  • Elias Montiel 83' yellowcard
  • Elias Montiel 84' yellowcard
  • Guillermo Almada 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Luis Rodriguez 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Luis Rodriguez 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Brian Garcia 13'
  • goal Brian Garcia 13'
  • goal Tiago Volpi 34'
  • goal Tiago Volpi 34'
  • yellowcard Juan Escobar 36'
  • yellowcard Juan Escobar 36'
  • goal Alexis Vega 44'
  • goal Alexis Vega 44'
  • yellowcard Carlos Orrantia 75'
  • yellowcard Carlos Orrantia 75'
Liga MX Gameweek 7
Toluca
Sep 3, 2023 7.00pm
5
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Nemesio Diez
Pachuca
  • Tiago Volpi 26' goal
  • Maximiliano Araujo 29' goal
  • Juan Dominguez 53' goal
  • Pedro Raul 57' goal
  • Pedro Raul 63' goal
  • Jesus Venegas 68' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Miguel Rodriguez 18'
  • yellowcard Guillermo Almada 19'
  • yellowcard Carlos Moreno 24'
Liga MX Gameweek 8
Pachuca
Feb 20, 2023 3.05am
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Hidalgo
Toluca
  • Javier Lopez 79' goal
  • goal Edgar Lopez 11'
  • goal Camilo Sanvezzo 90'+2'
Liga MX
Pachuca
Oct 31, 2022 1.36am
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT
Toluca
  • Victor Alfonso Guzman Guzman 45'+3' goal
  • Nicolas Ibanez 51' goal
  • Gustavo Cabral 75' goal
  • goal Raul Lopez 21'
Liga MX
Toluca
Oct 28, 2022 2.06am
1
5
HT : 0 4
FT
Pachuca
  • Jordan Sierra 78' goal
  • goal Romario Ibarra 8'
  • goal Gustavo Cabral 13'
  • goal Romario Ibarra 36'
  • goal Mauricio Isais 41'
  • goal Nicolas Ibanez 53'
Liga MX Gameweek 11
Toluca
Aug 28, 2022 6.00pm
1
4
HT : 0 2
FT
Pachuca
  • Brayan Angulo 21' yellowcard
  • Haret Ortega 29' yellowcard
  • Jean Meneses 63' goal
  • Jean Meneses 74' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Saucedo 74' yellowcard
  • Camilo Sanvezzo 90'+7' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Saucedo 90'+10' redcard
  • goal Illian Hernandez 15'
  • goal Illian Hernandez 24'
  • yellowcard Illian Hernandez 24'
  • yellowcard Oscar Murillo 59'
  • yellowcard Paulino de la Fuente 66'
  • yellowcard Luis Chavez 67'
  • goal Paulino de la Fuente 73'
  • goal Nicolas Ibanez 90'+2'

Form Data

Atlas 2 - 0 Pachuca
Pachuca 1 - 1 Queretaro
Mazatlan 3 - 0 Pachuca
Tigres 1 - 0 Pachuca
Pachuca 1 - 2 Toronto
Pachuca 1 - 1 NY Red Bulls
Toluca 4 - 0 Tijuana
Monterrey 1 - 2 Toluca
Toluca 2 - 1 Atletico San Luis
Toluca 1 - 2 Colorado
Toluca 2 - 2 Houston
Toluca 2 - 1 Kansas