Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 48%. A win for Pachuca had a probability of 27.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Pachuca win was 0-1 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Tigres in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Tigres.

Result
Tigres	Draw	Pachuca
48% ( 0.01)	24.42% ( 0.02)	27.59% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 55.98% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.68% (

-0.09)

46.32% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.39% (

-0.09)

68.61% (

0.09)

Tigres Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.62% (

-0.03)

19.38% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.82% (

-0.05)

51.18% (

0.05)

Pachuca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.43% (

-0.07)

30.56% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.21% (

-0.09)

66.79% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Tigres 48%

Pachuca 27.59%

Draw 24.42%

Tigres	Draw	Pachuca
1-0 @ 9.72% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.45% 2-0 @ 7.98% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.17% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.36% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.07% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.12% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.79% 4-2 @ 1.26% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.08% Total : 48%	1-1 @ 11.52% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.92% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.6% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.42%	0-1 @ 7.02% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.83% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.16% 1-3 @ 2.7% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.64% ( -0) Other @ 3.02% Total : 27.59%