Liga MX | Gameweek 4

Jul 22, 2024 at 12am UK

Estadio Olimpico de Universitario

Pumas
2 - 0
Pachuca

Funes Mori (45+6', 45+6'), Huerta (51' pen., 51' pen.)
Ruvalcaba (45+4'), Ruvalcaba (45+4'), Alfonso Monroy Reyes (46'), Alfonso Monroy Reyes (46'), Rivas (58'), Rivas (58'), Huerta (65'), Huerta (65'), Duarte (80'), Duarte (80')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Pedraza (41'), Pedraza (41'), Idrissi (45+4'), Cabral (45+5'), Almada (45+5'), Idrissi (45+4'), Cabral (45+5'), Almada (45+5'), Deossa (54'), Deossa (54'), Gonzalez (83'), Gonzalez (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Liga MX clash between Pumas and Pachuca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Pumas

All competitions

Last Game: Juarez 1-2 Pumas
Thursday, July 18 at 2.06am in Liga MX

Goals
for

Pachuca

All competitions

Liga MX

Last Game: Pachuca 2-0 Atletico San Luis
Wednesday, July 17 at 2am in Liga MX

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pumas win with a probability of 38.11%. A win for Pachuca had a probability of 35.6% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pumas win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Pachuca win was 0-1 (9.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Pumas would win this match.

Result
Pumas	Draw	Pachuca
38.11% ( 0.03)	26.28% ( -0)	35.6% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 53.23% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.57% (

-0)

51.43% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.76% (

73.24% (

-0)

Pumas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.69% (

0.02)

26.31% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.55% (

0.02)

61.44% (

-0.02)

Pachuca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.23% (

-0.02)

27.76% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.65% (

-0.03)

63.34% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Pumas 38.11%

Pachuca 35.6%

Draw 26.27%

Pumas	Draw	Pachuca
1-0 @ 9.75% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.34% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.51% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.71% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.9% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.38% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.24% ( 0) 4-0 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 2.31% Total : 38.11%	1-1 @ 12.49% 0-0 @ 7.31% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.35% 3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.27%	0-1 @ 9.36% ( -0) 1-2 @ 8.01% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.42% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.56% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.28% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.1% ( -0) Other @ 2.87% Total : 35.6%