Liga MX | Gameweek 9
Sep 21, 2024 at 2am UK
Estadio Cuauhtemoc

Puebla
2 - 3
Pachuca

Gomez (19', 19', 60', 60')
Quinones (33'), Quinones (33')
FT(HT: 2-4)
Rondon (13', 13'), Deossa (37', 37', 72', 72')
Moreno (89'), Moreno (89')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Puebla and Pachuca.

Form, Standings, Stats

Puebla

All competitions
Liga MX
Last Game: Pumas 1-0 Puebla
Wednesday, September 18 at 4.05am in Liga MX

Pachuca

All competitions
Liga MX
Last Game: Pachuca 2-2 Toluca
Wednesday, September 18 at 2am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 46.1%. A win for Puebla had a probability of 28.47% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.23%) and 0-2 (8.07%). The likeliest Puebla win was 1-0 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pachuca would win this match.

Result
PueblaDrawPachuca
28.47% (0.182 0.18)25.43% (0.336 0.34)46.1% (-0.517 -0.52)
Both teams to score 53.33% (-0.952 -0.95)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.91% (-1.302 -1.3)50.1% (1.304 1.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.93% (-1.173 -1.17)72.07% (1.174 1.17)
Puebla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.13% (-0.54100000000001 -0.54)31.87% (0.543 0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.69% (-0.624 -0.62)68.31% (0.625 0.63)
Pachuca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.27% (-0.76600000000001 -0.77)21.73% (0.769 0.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.1% (-1.186 -1.19)54.9% (1.188 1.19)
Score Analysis
    Puebla 28.47%
    Pachuca 46.1%
    Draw 25.42%
PueblaDrawPachuca
1-0 @ 7.92% (0.297 0.3)
2-1 @ 6.91% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 4.53% (0.105 0.11)
3-1 @ 2.64% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.01% (-0.078 -0.08)
3-0 @ 1.73% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 28.47%
1-1 @ 12.08% (0.18 0.18)
0-0 @ 6.92% (0.358 0.36)
2-2 @ 5.28% (-0.124 -0.12)
3-3 @ 1.02% (-0.065 -0.07)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.42%
0-1 @ 10.57% (0.32 0.32)
1-2 @ 9.23% (-0.077 -0.08)
0-2 @ 8.07% (0.052999999999999 0.05)
1-3 @ 4.7% (-0.151 -0.15)
0-3 @ 4.11% (-0.069 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.68% (-0.128 -0.13)
1-4 @ 1.79% (-0.101 -0.1)
0-4 @ 1.57% (-0.064 -0.06)
2-4 @ 1.03% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 46.1%

Head to Head
Feb 21, 2024 1am
Gameweek 9
Puebla
1-4
Pachuca
Gonzalez (13')
Gonzalez (4'), Silva (6'), Olmedo (32'), Cavallini (46')
Barreto (5'), Bautista (56', 90+6'), Sanchez (66')
Rondon (3'), Cabral (51')
Oct 29, 2023 1am
Gameweek 14
Pachuca
1-1
Puebla
Di Yorio (7')
Sanchez (52'), Almada (53'), Ortiz (72')
Velasco (12')
de los Santos (90+5')
Jan 10, 2023 3.10am
Gameweek 1
Pachuca
5-1
Puebla
Chavez (5'), Ibanez (9', 71'), Lopez (62'), Alvarez (65')
Barragan (45' pen.)
Sep 8, 2022 1am
Gameweek 13
Puebla
2-2
Pachuca
Ibanez (78'), Tapias (90')
Apr 20, 2022 1am
Gameweek 15
Pachuca
1-0
Puebla