Oct 28, 2024 12.00am

1

3

HT : 0 4

FT Estadio Victoria de Aguascalientes

Agustin Palavecino 77'
Agustin Palavecino 77'
Agustin Palavecino 90'+5'
Agustin Palavecino 90'+5'

Jesus Angulo 19'
Jesus Angulo 19'
Jesus Angulo 25'
Jesus Angulo 25'
Jesus Angulo 66'
Jesus Angulo 66'

Necaxa vs Toluca - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Necaxa

All competitions

L
L
L
D
D
D

Liga MX

L
L
L
D
D
D

Last game

Oct 23, 2024 2.05am

Guadalajara 3 - 2 Necaxa

Goals scored

58

Top scorer

Diber Cambindo

Toluca

All competitions

W
W
D
W
L
D

Liga MX

W
W
D
W
L
D

Last game

Oct 23, 2024 4.05am

Toluca 5 - 0 Puebla

Goals scored

89

Top scorer

Paulinho

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 46.37%. A win for Necaxa had a probability of 28.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.32%) and 0-2 (7.68%). The likeliest Necaxa win was 1-0 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toluca would win this match.

Result

Necaxa 28.96% ▼ (-0.15)

Draw 24.67% ▼ (-0.03)

Toluca 46.37% ▲ (+0.18)

Both Teams to Score:

56.13% ▼ (-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.42% ▲ (+0.02)

Under 2.5 46.58% ▼ (-0.02)

Over 3.5 31.15% ▲ (+0.02)

Under 3.5 68.85% ▼ (-0.02)

Over 4.5 15.47% ▲ (+0.02)

Under 4.5 84.53% ▼ (-0.01)

Necaxa Goals

Over 0.5 70.3% ▼ (-0.10)

Under 0.5 29.7% ▲ (+0.10)

Over 1.5 34.25% ▼ (-0.12)

Under 1.5 65.75% ▲ (+0.13)

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5 79.83% ▲ (+0.08)

Under 0.5 20.16% ▼ (-0.08)

Over 1.5 47.55% ▲ (+0.13)

Under 1.5 52.45% ▼ (-0.13)

Score analysis

Necaxa 28.96%

Draw 24.67%

Toluca 46.37%

Necaxa

1-0 @ 7.27% ▼ (-0.03)

2-1 @ 7.07% ▼ (-0.03)

2-0 @ 4.41% ▼ (-0.03)

3-1 @ 2.86% ▼ (-0.02)

3-2 @ 2.29% ▼ (-0.01)

3-0 @ 1.79% ▼ (-0.02)

Other @ 3.27%

Total : 28.96%

Draw

1-1 @ 11.64% ▼ (-0.01)

0-0 @ 5.99% ▼ (-0.01)

2-2 @ 5.66% ▼ (-0.01)

3-3 @ 1.22% ▼ (-0.01)

Other @ 0.16%

Total : 24.67%

Toluca

0-1 @ 9.59% ▲ (+0.02)

1-2 @ 9.32% ▲ (+0.02)

0-2 @ 7.68% ▲ (+0.04)

1-3 @ 4.98% ▲ (+0.02)

0-3 @ 4.1% ▲ (+0.03)

2-3 @ 3.02% ▲ (+0.01)

1-4 @ 1.99% ▲ (+0.02)

0-4 @ 1.64% ▲ (+0.02)

2-4 @ 1.21% ▲ (+0.01)

Other @ 2.85%

Total : 46.37%

Head to Head

Feb 10, 2024 11.00pm

3

3

HT : 2 1

FT Estadio Victoria de Aguascalientes

Diber Cambindo 27'
Eduardo Fentanes 31'
Bryan Garnica 43'
Jose Paradela 73'
Diber Cambindo 89'

Jean Meneses 6'
Federico Pereira 30'
Alexis Vega 58'
Tomas Belmonte 68'
Ezequiel Unsain 77' (OG)

Jul 2, 2023 7.00pm

0

0

HT : 0 0

FT Estadio Nemesio Diez

Apr 30, 2023 7.00pm

3

0

HT : 1 0

FT Estadio Nemesio DÃez

Leonardo Fernandez 31'
Carlos Gonzalez 52'
Tiago Volpi 71'

Jul 2, 2022 11.00pm

1

3

HT : 1 2

FT Estadio Victoria de Aguascalientes

Fabricio Formiliano 39'
Angelo Araos 54'
Edgar Mendez 68'
Dieter Villalpando 74'

Leonardo Fernandez 3'
Valber Huerta 24'
Leonardo Fernandez 25'
Tiago Volpi 32'
Claudio Baeza 49'
Camilo Sanvezzo 69'

Mar 5, 2022 1.00am

0

1

HT : 0 1

FT

Fernando Madrigal 31'
Rodrigo Aguirre 79'

Camilo Sanvezzo 2'
Alexis Canelo 51'
Alan Rodriguez 74'

Oct 21, 2021 1.00am

1

1

HT : 0 0

FT

Haret Ortega 36'
Oscar Vanegas 56'
Oscar Vanegas 67'
Rubens Sambueza 90'+5'

Julio Gonzalez 6'
Maximiliano Salas 24'
Alan Medina 45'
Alejandro Zendejas 53'

Form Data

Guadalajara 3 - 2 Necaxa

Necaxa 1 - 2 Tijuana

Cruz Azul 3 - 0 Necaxa

Queretaro 0 - 0 Necaxa

Necaxa 1 - 1 America

Mazatlan 0 - 0 Necaxa

Toluca 5 - 0 Puebla

Queretaro 0 - 1 Toluca

Toluca 1 - 1 Pumas

Toluca 4 - 1 Atlas

Santos Laguna 2 - 0 Toluca

Pachuca 2 - 2 Toluca