Liga MX | Gameweek 12
Oct 19, 2024 at 2am UK
Estadio La Corregidora

Queretaro
0 - 1
Toluca

Rodriguez (15')
Hernandez (55'), Hernandez (55'), Nicolas Ortiz (84'), Nicolas Ortiz (84')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Paulinho (45+3', 45+3')
Garcia (59'), Garcia (59')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Queretaro and Toluca.

Form, Standings, Stats

Queretaro

All competitions
Last Game: Mazatlan 2-2 Queretaro
Saturday, October 5 at 3am in Liga MX

Toluca

All competitions
Last Game: Toluca 1-1 Pumas
Sunday, October 6 at 2am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 56.61%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Queretaro had a probability of 20.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.9%) and 0-2 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.66%), while for a Queretaro win it was 1-0 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Toluca in this match.

Result
QueretaroDrawToluca
20.82% (-0.052 -0.05)22.57% (-0.038999999999998 -0.04)56.61% (0.089999999999996 0.09)
Both teams to score 54.38% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.18% (0.101 0.1)44.82% (-0.102 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.82% (0.097999999999999 0.1)67.17% (-0.099999999999994 -0.1)
Queretaro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.45% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)35.55% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.68% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)72.32% (-0.0080000000000098 -0.01)
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.37% (0.063999999999993 0.06)15.63% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.37% (0.12 0.12)44.63% (-0.121 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Queretaro 20.82%
    Toluca 56.61%
    Draw 22.57%
QueretaroDrawToluca
1-0 @ 5.75% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-1 @ 5.51% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 2.97% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.9% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 1.76% (0.0010000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 1.02% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 20.82%
1-1 @ 10.66% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.56% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.12% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-3 @ 1.09% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 22.57%
0-1 @ 10.31% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 9.9% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 9.57% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 6.13% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 5.92% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.17% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.84% (0.014 0.01)
0-4 @ 2.75% (0.013 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.47% (0.008 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.06% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
0-5 @ 1.02% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 56.61%

Head to Head
Jan 13, 2024 1am
Gameweek 1
Queretaro
2-2
Toluca
Gularte (7'), Nicolas Ortiz (56')
Barbieri (33'), Nicolas Ortiz (45+5'), Allison (87')
Lopez (66'), Pereira (90+6')
Lopez (73'), Araujo (73')
Oct 8, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 12
Toluca
3-1
Queretaro
Lopez (2', 66'), Volpi (58' pen.)
Sanvezzo (40')
Gularte (36'), Barrera (61'), Escamilla (76')
Mar 6, 2023 1.05am
Gameweek 10
Queretaro
1-0
Toluca
Torres (31')
Oct 2, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 17
Toluca
4-1
Queretaro
Fernandez (29' pen.), Navarro (45+2'), Sanvezzo (57' pen., 77')
Nahuelpan (63')
Feb 25, 2022 3.05am
Gameweek 7
Queretaro
1-1
Toluca

Mendoza (48'), Aguerre (87')
Fernandez (90+5')