Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 53.06%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Pumas had a probability of 23.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 2-0 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%), while for a Pumas win it was 0-1 (6.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.

Result
Toluca	Draw	Pumas
53.06% ( 0.38)	23.53% ( 0.06)	23.41% ( -0.45)

Both teams to score 54.76% (

-0.74)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.99% (

-0.74)

46% (

0.73)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.69% (

-0.7)

68.31% (

0.7)

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.7% (

-0.13)

17.29% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.36% (

-0.23)

47.64% (

0.23)

Pumas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.21% (

-0.79)

33.79% (

0.79)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.55% (

-0.87)

70.45% (

0.86)

Score Analysis

Toluca 53.05%

Pumas 23.41%

Draw 23.52%

Toluca	Draw	Pumas
1-0 @ 10.25% ( 0.27) 2-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9% ( 0.2) 3-1 @ 5.71% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 5.26% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 3.1% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 2.51% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.31% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.8% Total : 53.05%	1-1 @ 11.12% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 5.84% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 5.3% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.52%	0-1 @ 6.34% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 6.04% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 3.44% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.25% Total : 23.41%