Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 52.81%. A win for Juarez had a probability of 24.65% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Juarez win was 1-2 (6.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.