Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juarez win with a probability of 38.87%. A win for Santos Laguna had a probability of 36.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juarez win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.18%) and 0-2 (6.03%). The likeliest Santos Laguna win was 2-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Juarez would win this match.