Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Puebla win with a probability of 38.79%. A win for Juarez had a probability of 36.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Puebla win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.54%) and 2-0 (5.75%). The likeliest Juarez win was 1-2 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.