Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juarez win with a probability of 42.94%. A win for Queretaro had a probability of 32.09% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juarez win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Queretaro win was 1-0 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Juarez would win this match.