Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juarez win with a probability of 39.09%. A win for Atletico San Luis had a probability of 35.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juarez win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest Atletico San Luis win was 0-1 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.