Liga MX | Gameweek 13
Oct 24, 2024 at 2am UK
Estadio Azteca

Cruz Azul
4 - 0
Juarez

Faravelli (8', 8'), Sepulveda (28', 28', 50', 50'), Fernandez (73', 73')
Sanchez (90'), Sanchez (90')
FT(HT: 4-0)

Edson (78'), Edson (78')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Cruz Azul and Juarez.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Puebla 1-2 Cruz Azul
Saturday, October 19 at 4.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Juarez 2-3 Club Leon
Sunday, October 20 at 2.06am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 61.91%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Juarez had a probability of 17.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 1-0 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.66%), while for a Juarez win it was 1-2 (4.81%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cruz Azul would win this match.

Result
Cruz AzulDrawJuarez
61.91% (-1.118 -1.12)20.61% (0.443 0.44)17.48% (0.679 0.68)
Both teams to score 55.03% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.92% (-0.819 -0.82)41.08% (0.822 0.82)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.53% (-0.84 -0.84)63.47% (0.843 0.84)
Cruz Azul Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.25% (-0.565 -0.56)12.75% (0.568 0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.99% (-1.182 -1.18)39% (1.183 1.18)
Juarez Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.07% (0.299 0.3)36.93% (-0.297 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.28% (0.295 0.29)73.72% (-0.292 -0.29)
Score Analysis
    Cruz Azul 61.91%
    Juarez 17.48%
    Draw 20.61%
Cruz AzulDrawJuarez
2-0 @ 9.99% (-0.053999999999998 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.95% (0.019 0.02)
1-0 @ 9.7% (0.151 0.15)
3-0 @ 6.86% (-0.196 -0.2)
3-1 @ 6.83% (-0.138 -0.14)
4-0 @ 3.53% (-0.181 -0.18)
4-1 @ 3.52% (-0.15 -0.15)
3-2 @ 3.4% (-0.041 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.75% (-0.061 -0.06)
5-0 @ 1.46% (-0.108 -0.11)
5-1 @ 1.45% (-0.096 -0.1)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 61.91%
1-1 @ 9.66% (0.227 0.23)
2-2 @ 4.96% (0.049 0.05)
0-0 @ 4.71% (0.174 0.17)
3-3 @ 1.13% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 20.61%
1-2 @ 4.81% (0.151 0.15)
0-1 @ 4.69% (0.21 0.21)
0-2 @ 2.34% (0.122 0.12)
2-3 @ 1.65% (0.03 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.6% (0.063 0.06)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 17.48%

Head to Head
Jan 20, 2024 3.10am
Gameweek 2
Juarez
0-0
Cruz Azul
Venegas (43'), Chavez (75')
Ditta (60'), Rivero (76'), Piovi (81')
Nov 2, 2023 1am
Gameweek 15
Cruz Azul
2-0
Juarez
Sepulveda (14'), Uriel (62')
Huescas (34'), Escobar (64')

Garcia (81'), Campillo (88')
Feb 25, 2023 11pm
Gameweek 9
Cruz Azul
1-0
Juarez
Uriel (14')
Sep 3, 2022 3.05am
Gameweek 12
Juarez
2-2
Cruz Azul
Lezcano (86'), Machis (90+8' pen.)
Estrada (42' pen.), Carneiro (45+3')
Garcia (75')
Jan 16, 2022 3am
rhs 2.0


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