Liga MX | Gameweek 12

Oct 19, 2024 at 4.05am UK

Estadio Cuauhtemoc

Puebla
1 - 2
Cruz Azul

Quinones (45+7', 45+7')
Olmedo (85'), Olmedo (85'), Piovi (88')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Giakoumakis (45+4', 45+4'), Rotondi (71' pen., 71' pen.)
Giakoumakis (47'), Giakoumakis (47'), Faravelli (58'), Faravelli (58'), Piovi (88')

Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Puebla and Cruz Azul.

Form, Standings, Stats

Puebla

All competitions

Last Game: Tigres 1-0 Puebla
Sunday, October 6 at 12am in Liga MX

Goals
for

Cruz Azul

All competitions

Last Game: Cruz Azul 3-0 Necaxa
Sunday, October 6 at 12am in Liga MX

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 63.1%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Puebla had a probability of 15.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.29%) and 1-2 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.99%), while for a Puebla win it was 1-0 (5.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cruz Azul would win this match.

Result
Puebla	Draw	Cruz Azul
15.88% ( 0.22)	21.02% ( 0.12)	63.1% ( -0.33)

Both teams to score 50.19% (

0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.22% (

-0.1)

45.77% (

0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.91% (

-0.09)

68.09% (

0.09)

Puebla Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.27% (

0.22)

41.73% (

-0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.8% (

0.2)

78.2% (

-0.19)

Cruz Azul Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.13% (

-0.13)

13.87% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.73% (

-0.26)

41.27% (

0.26)

Score Analysis

Puebla 15.88%

Cruz Azul 63.1%

Draw 21.02%

Puebla	Draw	Cruz Azul
1-0 @ 5.06% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 4.37% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 2.21% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 1.27% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.26% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.72% Total : 15.88%	1-1 @ 9.99% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.79% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.31% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.92% Total : 21.02%	0-1 @ 11.43% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 11.29% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 9.87% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 7.44% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 6.5% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 3.67% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 3.21% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.84% ( 0) 0-5 @ 1.45% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.4% ( -0) 1-5 @ 1.27% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.73% Total : 63.1%