Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 63.1%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Puebla had a probability of 15.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.29%) and 1-2 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.99%), while for a Puebla win it was 1-0 (5.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cruz Azul would win this match.