Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 67.15%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Puebla had a probability of 13.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 2-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.92%), while for a Puebla win it was 0-1 (4.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tigres would win this match.