Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pumas win with a probability of 61.03%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Atletico San Luis had a probability of 18.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pumas win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.71%) and 1-0 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.71%), while for an Atletico San Luis win it was 1-2 (4.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pumas would win this match.