Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juarez win with a probability of 39.04%. A win for Club Tijuana had a probability of 37.07% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juarez win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.14%) and 2-0 (5.59%). The likeliest Club Tijuana win was 1-2 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.