Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 50.41%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Ourense CF had a probability of 20.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.13%) and 1-2 (8.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.94%), while for a Ourense CF win it was 1-0 (9.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Valencia would win this match.