Copa del Rey
Jan 14, 2025 8.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio O Couto
  • Miguel Prado del Barrio 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Fran Carmona 50' (OG)
  • goal Umar Sadiq 78'

Ourense CF vs Valencia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Ourense CF

All competitions

Valencia

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 50.41%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Ourense CF had a probability of 20.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.13%) and 1-2 (8.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.94%), while for a Ourense CF win it was 1-0 (9.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Valencia would win this match.

Result

Ourense CF 20.87% (+0.04)
Draw 28.72% (+0.02)
Valencia 50.41% (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

37.96% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 33.54% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 66.46% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 15.1% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 84.9% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 5.68% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 94.32% (+0.01)

Ourense CF Goals

Over 0.5 51.96% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 48.04% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 16.74% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 83.26% (-0.03)

Valencia Goals

Over 0.5 73.06% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 26.94% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 37.72% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 62.28% (+0.05)

Score analysis

Ourense CF 20.87%
Draw 28.71%
Valencia 50.4%
Ourense CF
1-0 @ 9.49% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 4.56% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 3.48% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 1.12% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 20.87%
Draw
0-0 @ 12.94% (+0.01)
1-1 @ 12.44% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 2.99% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 28.71%
Valencia
0-1 @ 16.97% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 11.13% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 8.16% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 4.87% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 3.57% (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.6% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.31%
1-4 @ 1.17% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 50.4%