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Copa del Rey | Round of 16
Jan 14, 2025 at 8pm UK
Estadio O Couto
Valencia logo

Ourense CF
0 - 2
Valencia


Prado del Barrio (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Carmona (50' og.), Sadiq (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Copa del Rey clash between Ourense CF and Valencia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Ourense CF 3-2 Valladolid
Sunday, January 5 at 11am in Copa del Rey
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Last Game: Sevilla 1-1 Valencia
Saturday, January 11 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Ourense CF 1-2 Valencia

Ourense have already claimed some big results in this season's competition, and they will be coming up against a Valencia side that are having a difficult campaign; we are expecting it to be close in terms of the scoreline, but Los Che should have enough quality to navigate their spot in the quarter-finals of the competition. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 50.41%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Ourense CF had a probability of 20.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.13%) and 1-2 (8.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.94%), while for a Ourense CF win it was 1-0 (9.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Valencia would win this match.

Result
Ourense CFDrawValencia
20.87% (0.039999999999999 0.04) 28.72% (0.016999999999999 0.02) 50.41% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)
Both teams to score 37.96% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
33.54% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)66.46% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.1% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)84.9% (0.012 0.01)
Ourense CF Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.96% (0.036000000000001 0.04)48.04% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.74% (0.026 0.03)83.26% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.06% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)26.94% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.72% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)62.28% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Ourense CF 20.87%
    Valencia 50.4%
    Draw 28.71%
Ourense CFDrawValencia
1-0 @ 9.49% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
2-1 @ 4.56% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.48% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 1.12% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 20.87%
0-0 @ 12.94% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-1 @ 12.44% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 2.99% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 28.71%
0-1 @ 16.97% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 11.13% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.16% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 4.87% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.57% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 1.6% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.31%
1-4 @ 1.17% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 50.4%

How you voted: Ourense CF vs Valencia

Ourense CF
16.3%
Draw
11.6%
Valencia
72.1%
43
rhs 2.0
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