Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 50.41%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Ourense CF had a probability of 20.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.13%) and 1-2 (8.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.94%), while for a Ourense CF win it was 1-0 (9.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Valencia would win this match.

Result
Ourense CF	Draw	Valencia
20.87% ( 0.04)	28.72% ( 0.02)	50.41% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 37.96% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

33.54% (

-0.01)

66.46% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.1% (

-0.01)

84.9% (

0.01)

Ourense CF Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.96% (

0.04)

48.04% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.74% (

0.03)

83.26% (

-0.03)

Valencia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.06% (

-0.03)

26.94% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.72% (

-0.04)

62.28% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Ourense CF 20.87%

Valencia 50.4%

Draw 28.71%

Ourense CF	Draw	Valencia
1-0 @ 9.49% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 4.56% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.48% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 1.12% ( 0) Other @ 2.23% Total : 20.87%	0-0 @ 12.94% ( 0.01) 1-1 @ 12.44% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 2.99% ( 0) Other @ 0.34% Total : 28.71%	0-1 @ 16.97% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 11.13% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.16% ( -0) 0-3 @ 4.87% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.57% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.6% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.31% 1-4 @ 1.17% ( -0) Other @ 1.64% Total : 50.4%