Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 45.06%. A win for Braga had a probability of 30.26% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Braga win was 0-1 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Union SG in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Union SG.

Result
Union SG	Draw	Braga
45.06% ( -0)	24.68% ( -0.01)	30.26% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 56.89% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.06% (

0.03)

45.94% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.75% (

0.03)

68.24% (

-0.03)

Union SG Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.53% (

0.01)

20.47% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.06% (

0.02)

52.94% (

-0.02)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.53% (

0.02)

28.47% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.76% (

0.03)

64.23% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Union SG 45.06%

Braga 30.26%

Draw 24.68%

Union SG	Draw	Braga
1-0 @ 9.24% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.21% 2-0 @ 7.33% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.87% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.88% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.06% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.93% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.54% 4-2 @ 1.21% ( 0) Other @ 2.79% Total : 45.06%	1-1 @ 11.61% 0-0 @ 5.83% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.79% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.28% ( 0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.68%	0-1 @ 7.32% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.3% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.6% 1-3 @ 3.06% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.42% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.93% ( 0) 1-4 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 2.68% Total : 30.26%