Belgian Pro League | Gameweek 22
Jan 19, 2025 at 3pm UK
Stade Joseph Marien (Bruxelles (Brussels))
OH Leuven

Union SG
1 - 0
Leuven

Akinpelu (13' pen.)
Fuseini (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Leysen (13'), Kurucay (73'), Banzuzi (87'), Schrijvers (89')
Kurucay (80')
Coverage of the Belgian Pro League clash between Union SG and Leuven.

Form, Standings, Stats

Union SG

All competitions
Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Charleroi 1-2 Union SG
Saturday, January 11 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League

Leuven

All competitions
Last Game: Genk 2-0 Leuven
Saturday, January 11 at 5.15pm in Belgian Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 63.43%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Leuven had a probability of 16.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.48%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.68%), while for a Leuven win it was 0-1 (4.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union SG would win this match.

Result
Union SGDrawLeuven
63.43% (-0.68899999999999 -0.69)20.47% (0.275 0.27)16.1% (0.416 0.42)
Both teams to score 52.51% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.06% (-0.43 -0.43)42.93% (0.431 0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.66% (-0.427 -0.43)65.34% (0.429 0.43)
Union SG Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.11% (-0.328 -0.33)12.88% (0.33 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.71% (-0.68 -0.68)39.28% (0.681 0.68)
Leuven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.28% (0.274 0.27)39.72% (-0.273 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.6% (0.253 0.25)76.39% (-0.253 -0.25)
Score Analysis
    Union SG 63.42%
    Leuven 16.1%
    Draw 20.47%
Union SGDrawLeuven
2-0 @ 10.74% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-0 @ 10.48% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 9.92% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 7.34% (-0.138 -0.14)
3-1 @ 6.78% (-0.076 -0.08)
4-0 @ 3.76% (-0.12 -0.12)
4-1 @ 3.47% (-0.084 -0.08)
3-2 @ 3.13% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.6% (-0.026 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.54% (-0.069 -0.07)
5-1 @ 1.42% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 63.42%
1-1 @ 9.68% (0.134 0.13)
0-0 @ 5.12% (0.097 0.1)
2-2 @ 4.58% (0.04 0.04)
3-3 @ 0.96% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 20.47%
0-1 @ 4.72% (0.123 0.12)
1-2 @ 4.47% (0.095 0.09)
0-2 @ 2.18% (0.073 0.07)
2-3 @ 1.41% (0.023 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.38% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 16.1%

Head to Head
Nov 24, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 15
Leuven
1-1
Union SG
Schrijvers (41' pen.)
Banzuzi (26'), Ricca (79')
Schrijvers (12' og.)
Lapoussin (23'), Sykes (60'), Boufal (77')
Vanhoutte (72')
Mar 2, 2024 5.15pm
Gameweek 28
Leuven
0-2
Union SG

Dagur Thorsteinsson (6'), Maertens (24'), Misao (79')
Sykes (28'), Terho (74')
Burgess (24'), Sykes (40'), Teklab (52')
Aug 12, 2023 5.15pm
Gameweek 3
Union SG
5-1
Leuven
Terho (21'), Puertas (34'), Eckert (65' pen., 74' pen.), Nilsson (90+8' pen.)
Burgess (60')
Dagur Thorsteinsson (39')
Banzuzi (44'), Dom (53'), Kiyine (61'), Mendyl (90+7')
Jan 21, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 22
Union SG
1-0
Leuven
Nilsson (77')
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 10
Leuven
0-3
Union SG
Burgess (12'), Kandouss (20'), Vanzeir (68')