Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 65.33%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Leuven had a probability of 14.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.62%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.4%), while for a Leuven win it was 0-1 (4.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Genk in this match.

Result
Genk	Draw	Leuven
65.33% ( 0.05)	19.84% ( -0.01)	14.82% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 51.53% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.3% (

-0.04)

42.69% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.9% (

-0.04)

65.09% (

0.04)

Genk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.73% (

-0)

12.27% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.99% (

38.01% (

-0.01)

Leuven Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.74% (

-0.08)

41.26% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.21% (

-0.07)

77.78% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

Genk 65.33%

Leuven 14.82%

Draw 19.84%

Genk	Draw	Leuven
2-0 @ 11.14% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 10.62% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.86% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.79% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.9% ( -0) 4-0 @ 4.09% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.62% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.05% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.72% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.6% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.52% Other @ 3.42% Total : 65.33%	1-1 @ 9.4% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.06% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.37% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.9% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 19.84%	0-1 @ 4.48% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.16% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.68% Total : 14.82%