Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Brugge win with a probability of 52.07%. A win for Genk had a probability of 25.36% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Brugge win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.3%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Genk win was 1-2 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club Brugge would win this match.