Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 79.19%. A draw had a probability of 13.5% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 7.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.82%) and 1-0 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.36%), while for a Boavista win it was 0-1 (2.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
Result | ||
Braga | Draw | Boavista |
79.19% (![]() | 13.45% (![]() | 7.36% (![]() |
Both teams to score 47.43% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.13% (![]() | 33.87% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.28% (![]() | 55.72% (![]() |
Braga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.24% (![]() | 6.76% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
75.04% (![]() | 24.96% (![]() |
Boavista Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
50.87% (![]() | 49.13% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
15.95% (![]() | 84.05% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Braga | Draw | Boavista |
2-0 @ 12.05% (![]() 3-0 @ 10.82% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 8.95% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 8.57% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.69% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 7.29% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 5.18% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 3.93% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 2.79% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.73% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.84% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 1.77% ( ![]() 6-1 @ 1.25% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 0.99% ( ![]() Other @ 3.32% Total : 79.18% | 1-1 @ 6.36% (![]() 0-0 @ 3.32% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.04% ( ![]() Other @ 0.73% Total : 13.45% | 0-1 @ 2.36% (![]() 1-2 @ 2.26% ( ![]() Other @ 2.74% Total : 7.36% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 21 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 57 | 16 | 41 | 51 |
2 | Benfica | 21 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 49 | 18 | 31 | 47 |
3 | Porto | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 45 | 18 | 27 | 43 |
4 | Braga | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 38 | 20 | 18 | 43 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 21 | 12 | 2 | 7 | 25 | 22 | 3 | 38 |
6 | Casa Pia | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 33 |
7 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 21 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 30 | 25 | 5 | 30 |
8 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 30 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 21 | 5 | 10 | 6 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 25 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 25 |
11 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 23 |
12 | AroucaArouca | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 23 |
13 | Gil Vicente | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 32 | -9 | 22 |
14 | Nacional | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 22 |
15 | AVS | 21 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 31 | -15 | 18 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 34 | -16 | 17 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 13 | 30 | -17 | 15 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 21 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 14 | 36 | -22 | 12 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |