Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 79.19%. A draw had a probability of 13.5% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 7.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.82%) and 1-0 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.36%), while for a Boavista win it was 0-1 (2.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.