Primeira Liga | Gameweek 19

Jan 26, 2025 at 8.30pm UK

Estadio Municipal de Braga

Braga
3 - 0
Boavista

Navarro (14', 69' pen.), Horta (33')
Gorby (65'), Martinez (81')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Abascal (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Braga and Boavista, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Braga

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Union SG 2-1 Braga
Thursday, January 23 at 8pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Boavista

All competitions

Last Game: Boavista 2-3 Casa Pia
Monday, January 20 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 79.19%. A draw had a probability of 13.5% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 7.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.82%) and 1-0 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.36%), while for a Boavista win it was 0-1 (2.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
Braga	Draw	Boavista
79.19% ( -0.7)	13.45% ( 0.37)	7.36% ( 0.34)

Both teams to score 47.43% (

0.39)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.13% (

-0.48)

33.87% (

0.48)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.28% (

-0.54)

55.72% (

0.55)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.24% (

-0.23)

6.76% (

0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

75.04% (

-0.65)

24.96% (

0.65)

Boavista Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.87% (

0.55)

49.13% (

-0.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.95% (

0.39)

84.05% (

-0.38)

Score Analysis

Braga 79.18%

Boavista 7.36%

Draw 13.45%

Braga	Draw	Boavista
2-0 @ 12.05% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 10.82% ( -0.16) 1-0 @ 8.95% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 8.57% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 7.69% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 7.29% ( -0.21) 4-1 @ 5.18% ( -0.07) 5-0 @ 3.93% ( -0.17) 5-1 @ 2.79% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.73% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.84% ( 0.01) 6-0 @ 1.77% ( -0.1) 6-1 @ 1.25% ( -0.05) 5-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.32% Total : 79.18%	1-1 @ 6.36% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 3.32% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 3.04% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.73% Total : 13.45%	0-1 @ 2.36% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 2.26% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.74% Total : 7.36%