Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 40.1%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 32.2% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 0-1 (10.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Casa Pia would win this match.
Result | ||
Boavista | Draw | Casa Pia |
40.1% (![]() | 27.69% (![]() | 32.2% (![]() |
Both teams to score 48.18% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.47% (![]() | 57.53% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.68% (![]() | 78.32% (![]() |
Boavista Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.93% (![]() | 28.07% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.27% (![]() | 63.73% (![]() |
Casa Pia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.98% (![]() | 33.02% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.39% (![]() | 69.61% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Boavista | Draw | Casa Pia |
1-0 @ 11.77% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.29% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.48% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.51% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.17% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.95% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.12% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.01% ( ![]() Other @ 1.81% Total : 40.1% | 1-1 @ 13.04% (![]() 0-0 @ 9.27% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.59% ( ![]() Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.69% | 0-1 @ 10.26% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.23% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.69% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.67% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.1% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.7% ( ![]() Other @ 2.55% Total : 32.19% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 21 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 57 | 16 | 41 | 51 |
2 | Benfica | 20 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 46 | 16 | 30 | 44 |
3 | Porto | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 45 | 18 | 27 | 43 |
4 | Braga | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 36 | 20 | 16 | 40 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 20 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 23 | 21 | 2 | 35 |
6 | Casa Pia | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 30 |
7 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 30 | 25 | 5 | 29 |
8 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 27 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 20 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 24 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 22 | 34 | -12 | 24 |
11 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 23 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 22 |
13 | AroucaArouca | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 22 |
14 | Nacional | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 19 |
15 | AVS | 20 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 18 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 17 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 28 | -15 | 15 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 20 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 13 | 34 | -21 | 12 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |