Casa Pia
Taca de Portugal | Round of 16
Jan 12, 2025 at 4.45pm UK
Campo do Cevadeiro
Rio Ave

Casa Pia
1 - 3
Rio Ave

Martins Pereira (42')
Ferreira de Sousa (58'), Svensson Rio (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Bondoso (6'), Clayton (15'), Morais (81')
Aguilera (12'), Neto (62'), Miszta (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Taca de Portugal clash between Casa Pia and Rio Ave, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Casa Pia

All competitions
Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Casa Pia 1-1 Famalicao
Sunday, January 5 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Rio Ave

All competitions
Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Gil Vicente 1-1 Rio Ave
Monday, January 6 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 38.87%. A win for Rio Ave had a probability of 33.48% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Rio Ave win was 0-1 (10.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.

Result
Casa PiaDrawRio Ave
38.87% (-0.174 -0.17)27.65% (0.039000000000001 0.04)33.48% (0.133 0.13)
Both teams to score 48.61% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.87% (-0.126 -0.13)57.13% (0.124 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22% (-0.101 -0.1)78% (0.099999999999994 0.1)
Casa Pia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.42% (-0.16200000000001 -0.16)28.58% (0.16 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.62% (-0.203 -0.2)64.38% (0.20099999999999 0.2)
Rio Ave Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.07% (0.025999999999996 0.03)31.94% (-0.028000000000002 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.61% (0.029 0.03)68.39% (-0.030999999999992 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Casa Pia 38.86%
    Rio Ave 33.47%
    Draw 27.64%
Casa PiaDrawRio Ave
1-0 @ 11.43% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.17% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-0 @ 7.16% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.41% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.99% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.95% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.07% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 0.94% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 38.86%
1-1 @ 13.04% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.13% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.66% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 27.64%
0-1 @ 10.41% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
1-2 @ 7.45% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.95% (0.038 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.83% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.26% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.77% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 33.47%

How you voted: Casa Pia vs Rio Ave

Casa Pia
71.4%
Draw
28.6%
Rio Ave
0.0%
7
Head to Head
Nov 2, 2024 3.30pm
Gameweek 10
Rio Ave
2-2
Casa Pia
Clayton (16'), Neto (40')
Richards (37'), Aderlan (69'), Vrousai (82')
Moreira (3'), Cassiano (28')
Segovia (43'), Brito (85'), Kraev (90+5')
> Preview
Feb 11, 2024 3.30pm
Gameweek 21
Rio Ave
1-0
Casa Pia
Yakubu (88')
Freire (14'), Teixeira (38')

Neto (13'), Clayton (86'), Lameiras (90+4')
> Preview
Sep 2, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 4
Casa Pia
1-1
Rio Ave
Roberto (13')
Clayton (75')
Joca (52')
Graca (77'), Pantalon (90+4')
> Preview
Apr 16, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 28
Rio Ave
1-1
Casa Pia
Pantalon (52')
Martins (17')
> Preview
Oct 30, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 11
Casa Pia
1-0
Rio Ave
Godwin (66')
> Preview