Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 39.58%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 31.71% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.96%) and 0-2 (7.65%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 1-0 (11.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.