Primeira Liga | Gameweek 17

Jan 5, 2025 at 6pm UK

Campo do Cevadeiro

Casa Pia
1 - 1
Famalicao

Pedro Goulart Silva (18')
Kraev (17'), Moreira (33')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Aranda (34')
Topic (17'), Soares (85'), Rochinha (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Casa Pia and Famalicao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Casa Pia

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Braga 1-2 Casa Pia
Sunday, December 29 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Famalicao

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Famalicao 1-2 Santa Clara
Monday, December 30 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 39.58%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 31.71% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.96%) and 0-2 (7.65%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 1-0 (11.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.

Result
Casa Pia	Draw	Famalicao
31.71% ( 0.16)	28.71% ( 0.03)	39.58% ( -0.19)

Both teams to score 45.17% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.78% (

-0.06)

61.22% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.85% (

-0.05)

81.15% (

0.05)

Casa Pia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.68% (

0.08)

35.32% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.92% (

0.09)

72.08% (

-0.08)

Famalicao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.84% (

-0.14)

30.16% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.69% (

-0.17)

66.31% (

0.17)

Score Analysis

Casa Pia 31.7%

Famalicao 39.58%

Draw 28.7%

Casa Pia	Draw	Famalicao
1-0 @ 11.08% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 6.92% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 5.77% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 2.4% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.44% ( 0) Other @ 2.1% Total : 31.7%	1-1 @ 13.28% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.65% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.15% ( -0) Other @ 0.62% Total : 28.7%	0-1 @ 12.76% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.96% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 7.65% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.18% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.06% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.44% Total : 39.58%