MX23RW : Tuesday, March 18 22:40:20| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Braga
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 21
Feb 9, 2025 at 6pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Braga
Gil Vicente logo

Braga
2 - 0
Gil Vicente

Fernandes (10', 81')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Aguirre de Cespedes (15')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Braga and Gil Vicente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Moreirense 1-2 Braga
Monday, February 3 at 6.45pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Gil Vicente 1-2 Estoril
Saturday, February 1 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Braga 2-1 Gil Vicente

Braga have a mixed record at home while Gil Vicente have a poor record on the road, so expect a close game regardless of the result. That being said, the hosts have been in strong form more generally and their momentum - as well as the chance to put pressure on Porto - could see them take an important three points this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 64.22%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 15.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.58%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.84%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 0-1 (4.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
BragaDrawGil Vicente
64.22% (0.264 0.26) 20.68% (-0.031000000000002 -0.03) 15.1% (-0.234 -0.23)
Both teams to score 49.45% (-0.455 -0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.18% (-0.319 -0.32)45.82% (0.317 0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.86% (-0.303 -0.3)68.14% (0.304 0.3)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.45% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)13.55% (0.019 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.37% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)40.63% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Gil Vicente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.19% (-0.515 -0.52)42.8% (0.513 0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.88% (-0.439 -0.44)79.12% (0.44 0.44)
Score Analysis
    Braga 64.21%
    Gil Vicente 15.1%
    Draw 20.68%
BragaDrawGil Vicente
1-0 @ 11.59% (0.15 0.15)
2-0 @ 11.58% (0.14 0.14)
2-1 @ 9.83% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 7.72% (0.086 0.09)
3-1 @ 6.55% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-0 @ 3.86% (0.04 0.04)
4-1 @ 3.27% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.78% (-0.048 -0.05)
5-0 @ 1.54% (0.015 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.39% (-0.025 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.31% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 64.21%
1-1 @ 9.84% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.8% (0.078 0.08)
2-2 @ 4.17% (-0.068 -0.07)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 20.68%
0-1 @ 4.92% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 4.17% (-0.064 -0.06)
0-2 @ 2.09% (-0.031 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.18% (-0.035 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.18% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 15.1%

How you voted: Braga vs Gil Vicente

Braga
86.5%
Draw
13.5%
Gil Vicente
0.0%
37
Head to Head
Sep 1, 2024 8.30pm
Gameweek 4
Gil Vicente
0-0
Braga
Cruz (42'), Mboula (71'), Fujimoto (77'), Andrew (82')
Carvalho (45')
Mar 16, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 26
Braga
2-1
Gil Vicente
Ruiz (39'), Banza (89')
Alipour (59' pen.)
Buta (61'), Pereira (66'), Alipour (82')
Oct 28, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 9
Gil Vicente
3-3
Braga
Baturina (21'), Dominguez (58' pen.), Wilson (89')
Carlos (34'), Fernandes (43'), Pereira (71'), Tiba (90+6')
Banza (71'), Horta (78', 82')
Ruiz (70'), Djalo (76')
Niakate (55')
Apr 16, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 28
Braga
1-0
Gil Vicente
Horta (30')
Oct 30, 2022 8.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon26195270234762
2Benfica25192459203959
3Porto26165551203153
4Braga26165542222053
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara2613492725243
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes26101153627941
7Casa Pia26106103235-336
8Estoril PraiaEstoril269983441-736
9FamalicaoFamalicao2681082929034
10MoreirenseMoreirense2687113137-631
11Nacional2685132636-1029
12Rio AveRio Ave2678112943-1429
13AroucaArouca2678112539-1429
14Gil Vicente2558122437-1323
15Estrela Amadora2658132138-1723
16AVS26411112037-1723
17SC FarenseFarense2638151737-2017
18BoavistaBoavista2636171643-2715


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!