Primeira Liga | Gameweek 21

Feb 9, 2025 at 6pm UK

Estadio Municipal de Braga

Braga
2 - 0
Gil Vicente

Fernandes (10', 10', 81')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Aguirre de Cespedes (15'), Aguirre de Cespedes (15')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Braga and Gil Vicente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Braga

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Moreirense 1-2 Braga
Monday, February 3 at 6.45pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Gil Vicente

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Gil Vicente 1-2 Estoril
Saturday, February 1 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 64.22%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 15.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.58%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.84%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 0-1 (4.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
Braga	Draw	Gil Vicente
64.22% ( 0.26)	20.68% ( -0.03)	15.1% ( -0.23)

Both teams to score 49.45% (

-0.45)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.18% (

-0.32)

45.82% (

0.32)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.86% (

-0.3)

68.14% (

0.3)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.45% (

-0.02)

13.55% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.37% (

-0.04)

40.63% (

0.04)

Gil Vicente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.19% (

-0.52)

42.8% (

0.51)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.88% (

-0.44)

79.12% (

0.44)

Score Analysis

Braga 64.21%

Gil Vicente 15.1%

Draw 20.68%

Braga	Draw	Gil Vicente
1-0 @ 11.59% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 11.58% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 9.83% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 7.72% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 6.55% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 3.86% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 3.27% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 1.54% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.31% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.79% Total : 64.21%	1-1 @ 9.84% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.8% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 4.17% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.88% Total : 20.68%	0-1 @ 4.92% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.17% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 2.09% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.56% Total : 15.1%