Primeira Liga | Gameweek 20

Feb 1, 2025 at 6pm UK

Estadio Cidade de Barcelos

Gil Vicente
1 - 2
Estoril

Correia (15')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Begraoui (45+5' pen.), Boma (84')
Alvaro (12')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Gil Vicente and Estoril Praia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gil Vicente

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: AVS 1-0 Gil Vicente
Monday, January 27 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Estoril Praia

All competitions

Last Game: Estoril 1-0 Guimaraes
Sunday, January 26 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 49.32%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 24.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.3%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.23%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 0-1 (8.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Estoril Praia in this match.

Result
Gil Vicente	Draw	Estoril Praia
49.32% ( -0.11)	25.8% ( 0.32)	24.89% ( -0.2)

Both teams to score 49.35% (

-1.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.09% (

-1.38)

53.91% (

1.39)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.64% (

-1.17)

75.37% (

1.18)

Gil Vicente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.12% (

-0.61)

21.89% (

0.62)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.86% (

-0.94)

55.14% (

0.95)

Estoril Praia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.18% (

-0.93)

36.83% (

0.94)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.39% (

-0.94)

73.62% (

0.96)

Score Analysis

Gil Vicente 49.31%

Estoril Praia 24.89%

Draw 25.79%

Gil Vicente	Draw	Estoril Praia
1-0 @ 12.24% ( 0.43) 2-0 @ 9.3% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 9.29% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 4.71% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.71% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.13) 4-0 @ 1.79% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.79% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.14% Total : 49.31%	1-1 @ 12.23% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 8.06% ( 0.43) 2-2 @ 4.64% ( -0.16) Other @ 0.86% Total : 25.79%	0-1 @ 8.05% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 6.11% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 4.02% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.78% Total : 24.89%