Primeira Liga | Gameweek 23

Feb 24, 2025 at 8.15pm UK

Estadio Do Dragao

Porto
1 - 1
Guimaraes

Vieira (67')
Franco (80'), Djalo (90+6')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Embalo (86')
Maga (90+9'), Rivas (90+8')
(58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Porto and Vitoria de Guimaraes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Roma 3-2 Porto
Thursday, February 20 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Guimaraes 0-0 Braga
Sunday, February 16 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 48.62%. A win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 26.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.

Result
Porto	Draw	Vitoria de Guimaraes
48.62% ( -0.95)	25.31% ( 0.53)	26.07% ( 0.42)

Both teams to score 51.88% (

-1.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.88% (

-1.85)

51.12% (

1.85)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.03% (

-1.64)

72.97% (

1.64)

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.96% (

-1.14)

21.04% (

1.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.16% (

-1.81)

53.84% (

1.81)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.7% (

-0.64)

34.29% (

0.65)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29% (

-0.7)

71% (

0.7)

Score Analysis

Porto 48.61%

Vitoria de Guimaraes 26.07%

Draw 25.3%

Porto	Draw	Vitoria de Guimaraes
1-0 @ 11.24% ( 0.43) 2-1 @ 9.38% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 8.77% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.87% ( -0.24) 3-0 @ 4.55% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.18) 4-1 @ 1.9% ( -0.17) 4-0 @ 1.78% ( -0.12) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.5% Total : 48.61%	1-1 @ 12.03% ( 0.26) 0-0 @ 7.22% ( 0.52) 2-2 @ 5.02% ( -0.16) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.3%	0-1 @ 7.72% ( 0.43) 1-2 @ 6.44% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 4.13% ( 0.16) 1-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.21% Total : 26.07%