Primeira Liga | Gameweek 19

Jan 26, 2025 at 6pm UK

Estadio Do Dragao

Porto
1 - 1
Santa Clara

Otavio (76')
Galeno (12'), Mario (23'), Pepe (40'), Djalo (46')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Silva (33')
Calila (22'), Ferreira (47'), Pereira (52'), Lopes (65'), Batista (70'), Lopes (79')
Pereira (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Porto and Santa Clara, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Porto 0-1 Olympiacos
Thursday, January 23 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Santa Clara

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Santa Clara 2-3 Estoril
Saturday, January 18 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 77.69%. A draw had a probability of 14.8% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 7.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.34%) and 1-0 (11.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.04%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 0-1 (2.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
Porto	Draw	Santa Clara
77.69% ( -0.25)	14.84% ( 0.1)	7.47% ( 0.15)

Both teams to score 42.45% (

0.41)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.47% (

0.11)

40.53% (

-0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.09% (

0.11)

62.91% (

-0.11)

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.43% (

-0.03)

8.57% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

70.37% (

-0.07)

29.63% (

0.08)

Santa Clara Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

46.43% (

0.46)

53.57% (

-0.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.99% (

0.29)

87% (

-0.29)

Score Analysis

Porto 77.67%

Santa Clara 7.47%

Draw 14.84%

Porto	Draw	Santa Clara
2-0 @ 13.85% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 11.34% ( -0.11) 1-0 @ 11.27% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 8.65% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 7.08% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 6.97% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 4.35% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 3.43% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.21% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 2.14% ( 0) 6-0 @ 1.4% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.36% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.62% Total : 77.67%	1-1 @ 7.04% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 4.59% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 2.7% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.51% Total : 14.84%	0-1 @ 2.87% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 2.2% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.4% Total : 7.47%