Europa League

Europa League | League Stage

Jan 23, 2025 at 5.45pm UK

Estadio Do Dragao

Porto
0 - 1
Olympiacos

Perez (23'), Omorodion (53'), Borges (86')

FT(HT: 0-0)

El Kaabi (79')
Garcia (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Porto and Olympiacos, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Gil Vicente 3-1 Porto
Sunday, January 19 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Olympiacos

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Atromitos 1-2 Olympiacos
Sunday, January 19 at 1pm in Greek Superleague

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 62.71%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Olympiacos had a probability of 15.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.85%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.28%), while for a Olympiacos win it was 0-1 (5.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
Porto	Draw	Olympiacos
62.71% ( 0.14)	21.65% ( -0.05)	15.64% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 47.66% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.12% (

0.03)

48.88% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.03% (

0.03)

70.97% (

-0.02)

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85% (

0.06)

15% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.55% (

0.1)

43.45% (

-0.1)

Olympiacos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.07% (

-0.11)

43.93% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.94% (

-0.09)

80.06% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Porto 62.7%

Olympiacos 15.64%

Draw 21.65%

Porto	Draw	Olympiacos
1-0 @ 12.49% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 11.85% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.75% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.5% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 6.17% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.56% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.93% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.54% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.2% 5-1 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.25% Total : 62.7%	1-1 @ 10.28% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.59% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.77% Total : 21.65%	0-1 @ 5.42% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 4.23% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.5% Total : 15.64%