Malmo
Europa League | League Stage
Oct 24, 2024 at 8pm UK
Malmo Stadion
Olympiacos

Malmo
0 - 1
Olympiacos


Loukili (46'), Pena (82')
FT(HT: 0-1)
El Kaabi (30')
Carmo (43'), El Kaabi (69'), Tzolakis (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Malmo and Olympiacos, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vasteras 1-1 Malmo
Saturday, October 19 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Olympiacos 2-2 Levadiakos
Sunday, October 20 at 2pm in Greek Superleague

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 42.65%. A win for Olympiacos had a probability of 33.41% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.74%) and 2-0 (6.31%). The likeliest Olympiacos win was 1-2 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Olympiacos would win this match.

Result
MalmoDrawOlympiacos
42.65% (-4.204 -4.2)23.94% (0.07 0.07)33.41% (4.135 4.14)
Both teams to score 60.92% (1.848 1.85)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.73% (1.531 1.53)41.27% (-1.53 -1.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.33% (1.536 1.54)63.67% (-1.536 -1.54)
Malmo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.4% (-1.145 -1.15)19.6% (1.146 1.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.46% (-1.899 -1.9)51.54% (1.9 1.9)
Olympiacos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.77% (3.331 3.33)24.23% (-3.329 -3.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.42% (4.503 4.5)58.58% (-4.503 -4.5)
Score Analysis
    Malmo 42.65%
    Olympiacos 33.41%
    Draw 23.94%
MalmoDrawOlympiacos
2-1 @ 8.94% (-0.42 -0.42)
1-0 @ 7.74% (-0.856 -0.86)
2-0 @ 6.31% (-0.956 -0.96)
3-1 @ 4.86% (-0.416 -0.42)
3-2 @ 3.44% (0.045 0.05)
3-0 @ 3.43% (-0.665 -0.67)
4-1 @ 1.98% (-0.249 -0.25)
4-2 @ 1.4% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.4% (-0.333 -0.33)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 42.65%
1-1 @ 10.97% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-2 @ 6.34% (0.305 0.31)
0-0 @ 4.75% (-0.337 -0.34)
3-3 @ 1.63% (0.167 0.17)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.94%
1-2 @ 7.78% (0.639 0.64)
0-1 @ 6.73% (0.177 0.18)
0-2 @ 4.77% (0.548 0.55)
1-3 @ 3.68% (0.608 0.61)
2-3 @ 2.99% (0.403 0.4)
0-3 @ 2.26% (0.44 0.44)
1-4 @ 1.3% (0.314 0.31)
2-4 @ 1.06% (0.226 0.23)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 33.41%

How you voted: Malmo vs Olympiacos

Malmo
28.7%
Draw
17.1%
Olympiacos
54.3%
129
Head to Head
Dec 9, 2014 7.45pm
Group Stage
Olympiacos
4-2
Malmo
Oct 1, 2014 7.45pm
Group Stage
Malmo
2-0
Olympiacos
rhs 2.0


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