Malmo
Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 26
Oct 6, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Malmo Stadion

Malmo
1 - 1
Varnamo

Bolin (55')
Rieks (34'), Pena (80'), Loukili (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Zeljkovic (89' pen.)
Coverage of the Swedish Allsvenskan clash between Malmo and Varnamo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Malmo

All competitions
Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Qarabag 1-2 Malmo
Thursday, October 3 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Varnamo

All competitions
Last Game: Varnamo 1-1 Djurgarden
Sunday, September 29 at 1pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 68.47%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Varnamo had a probability of 13.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 1-0 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.17%), while for a Varnamo win it was 1-2 (3.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
MalmoDrawVarnamo
68.47% (-0.10599999999999 -0.11)17.78% (0.091999999999999 0.09)13.75% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 56.08% (-0.329 -0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.63% (-0.431 -0.43)35.36% (0.42599999999999 0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.6% (-0.48 -0.48)57.39% (0.477 0.48)
Malmo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.59% (-0.14100000000001 -0.14)9.4% (0.137 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.36% (-0.331 -0.33)31.64% (0.326 0.33)
Varnamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.9% (-0.268 -0.27)38.1% (0.264 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.14% (-0.259 -0.26)74.86% (0.255 0.25)
Score Analysis
    Malmo 68.47%
    Varnamo 13.75%
    Draw 17.78%
MalmoDrawVarnamo
2-0 @ 10.01% (0.090999999999999 0.09)
2-1 @ 9.66% (0.02 0.02)
1-0 @ 8.47% (0.13 0.13)
3-0 @ 7.89% (0.025 0.03)
3-1 @ 7.61% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-0 @ 4.66% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-1 @ 4.5% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.67% (-0.042 -0.04)
5-0 @ 2.2% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-2 @ 2.17% (-0.038 -0.04)
5-1 @ 2.13% (-0.036 -0.04)
5-2 @ 1.03% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 4.46%
Total : 68.47%
1-1 @ 8.17% (0.067 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.66% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-0 @ 3.58% (0.077 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 17.78%
1-2 @ 3.94% (0.004 0)
0-1 @ 3.46% (0.049 0.05)
0-2 @ 1.67% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.5% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.27% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 13.75%

How you voted: Malmo vs Varnamo

Malmo
83.3%
Draw
16.7%
Varnamo
0.0%
6
Head to Head
Apr 15, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 3
Varnamo
0-4
Malmo

Kotto (81')
Kiese Thelin (6'), Cornelius (33'), Nanasi (51'), Botheim (78')
Jul 31, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 17
Malmo
3-1
Varnamo
Kiese Thelin (24', 90+3'), Rieks (73')
Lewicki (49'), Busanello (52'), Bolin (90+3')
Johansson (27')
Larsson (43'), Junior Adjei (88')
> Preview
Jun 10, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 12
Varnamo
1-3
Malmo
Engvall (2')
Ali (35', 75'), Nanasi (88')
> Preview
Oct 9, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 25
Malmo
0-0
Varnamo
Apr 21, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 4
Varnamo
0-0
Malmo
Nasstrom (25')