Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Varnamo win with a probability of 45.04%. A win for Kalmar had a probability of 30.19% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Varnamo win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.21%) and 0-2 (7.38%). The likeliest Kalmar win was 1-0 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.