Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 17
Aug 4, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Guldfageln Arena
Hammarby

Kalmar
1 - 4
Hammarby

Skrabb (83')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Tekie (29'), Pinas (62'), Erabi (66'), Gul (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Swedish Allsvenskan clash between Kalmar and Hammarby, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kalmar

All competitions
Last Game: Norrkoping 2-0 Kalmar
Saturday, July 27 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Hammarby

All competitions
Last Game: Hammarby 3-0 Mjallby AIF
Sunday, July 28 at 3.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hammarby win with a probability of 41.19%. A win for Kalmar had a probability of 33.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hammarby win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (6.67%). The likeliest Kalmar win was 1-0 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hammarby would win this match.

Result
KalmarDrawHammarby
33.68% (0.107 0.11)25.13% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)41.19% (-0.050999999999995 -0.05)
Both teams to score 56.76% (0.233 0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.27% (0.287 0.29)46.73% (-0.291 -0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.01% (0.268 0.27)68.99% (-0.27199999999999 -0.27)
Kalmar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.32% (0.203 0.2)26.67% (-0.207 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.08% (0.269 0.27)61.92% (-0.27200000000001 -0.27)
Hammarby Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.4% (0.097999999999999 0.1)22.59% (-0.102 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.8% (0.149 0.15)56.2% (-0.153 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Kalmar 33.68%
    Hammarby 41.19%
    Draw 25.13%
KalmarDrawHammarby
1-0 @ 7.96% (-0.050999999999999 -0.05)
2-1 @ 7.83% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.26% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 3.45% (0.028 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.57% (0.029 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.32% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.14% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 33.68%
1-1 @ 11.84% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 6.03% (-0.074 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.82% (0.032 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.27% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.13%
0-1 @ 8.96% (-0.083 -0.08)
1-2 @ 8.81% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 6.67% (-0.041 -0.04)
1-3 @ 4.37% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.31% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.89% (0.025 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.63% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.23% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.07% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 41.19%

How you voted: Kalmar vs Hammarby

Kalmar
20.0%
Draw
11.4%
Hammarby
68.6%
35
Head to Head
Mar 31, 2024 1pm
Gameweek 1
Hammarby
3-1
Kalmar
Besara (14'), Sjostedt (17' og.), Erabi (82')
Skoglund (66')
Hallberg (25')
Magashy (67')
Aug 20, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 20
Kalmar
0-0
Hammarby
Jul 16, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 15
Hammarby
3-1
Kalmar
Erabi (11'), Dukanovic (32'), Tekie (90+9')
Shamoun (76')
Shamoun (85'), Jensen (86')
> Preview
Oct 30, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 29
Hammarby
4-2
Kalmar
Ludwigson (3', 58'), Jeahze (63'), Lindahl (81' og.)
Nanasi (53'), Berg (70')
May 8, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 7
Kalmar
2-0
Hammarby
Shamoun (35', 38')