Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 16
Jul 27, 2024 at 2pm UK
Ostgotaporten

Norrkoping
2 - 0
Kalmar

Nyman (17', 66')
Ingvi Traustason (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Saetra (49'), Gojani (64'), Chijioke Osuji (76'), Skrabb (89'), Inzoudine (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Swedish Allsvenskan clash between IFK Norrkoping and Kalmar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

IFK Norrkoping

All competitions
Last Game: Norrkoping 1-0 Halmstad
Sunday, July 21 at 1pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Kalmar

All competitions
Last Game: Kalmar 2-1 Djurgarden
Saturday, July 20 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a IFK Norrkoping win with a probability of 46.36%. A win for Kalmar had a probability of 29.17% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a IFK Norrkoping win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.29%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Kalmar win was 1-2 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that IFK Norrkoping would win this match.

Result
IFK NorrkopingDrawKalmar
46.36% (-0.050000000000004 -0.05)24.46% (0.009999999999998 0.01)29.17% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Both teams to score 56.97% (0.0059999999999931 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.47% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)45.53% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.14% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)67.85% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
IFK Norrkoping Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.26% (-0.021999999999991 -0.02)19.74% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.23% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)51.77% (0.038000000000004 0.04)
Kalmar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.99% (0.028999999999996 0.03)29.01% (-0.026 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.09% (0.033000000000001 0.03)64.91% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    IFK Norrkoping 46.36%
    Kalmar 29.17%
    Draw 24.45%
IFK NorrkopingDrawKalmar
2-1 @ 9.33% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
1-0 @ 9.29% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 7.54% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.05% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.08% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.12% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 2.05% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 1.65% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.27% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3%
Total : 46.36%
1-1 @ 11.49%
2-2 @ 5.77% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-0 @ 5.73% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-3 @ 1.29% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.45%
1-2 @ 7.12% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.09% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.39% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.94% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.38% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 1.81% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 0.91% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 29.17%

How you voted: Norrkoping vs Kalmar

IFK Norrkoping
37.5%
Draw
12.5%
Kalmar
50.0%
16
Head to Head
May 16, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 9
Kalmar
1-1
Norrkoping
Islamovic (52')
Saetra (28')
Prica (49')
Watson (43'), Hoog-Jansson (77')
Sep 30, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 25
Norrkoping
1-0
Kalmar
Lind (36')
Ingvi Traustason (7')
May 28, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 10
Kalmar
2-1
Norrkoping
Hummet (87'), Rajovic (90+1')
Lind (59')
Ingvi Traustason (33'), Ceesay (55')
Sep 17, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 23
Norrkoping
2-2
Kalmar
Nyman (24'), Gudjohnsen (59')
Nanasi (47'), Lindahl (86')
Apr 26, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 5
Kalmar
1-2
Norrkoping
Jansson (67')
Jensen (89')
Markovic (6'), Levi (42')
Wahlqvist (68'), Eid (90+4'), Jansson (90+7')