Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 14
Jul 14, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Iver Arena (Vasteras)

Vasteras
2 - 1
Norrkoping

Saidi (52'), Magnusson (90')
Magnusson (40')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Hammershoj-Mistrati (55')
Neffati (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Swedish Allsvenskan clash between Vasteras SK and IFK Norrkoping, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vasteras 1-2 Hacken
Monday, July 8 at 6pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Norrkoping 1-3 Djurgarden
Monday, July 8 at 6pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vasteras SK win with a probability of 47.64%. A win for IFK Norrkoping had a probability of 28.73% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vasteras SK win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.47%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest IFK Norrkoping win was 1-2 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Vasteras SK in this match.

Result
Vasteras SKDrawIFK Norrkoping
47.64% (0.14 0.14)23.63% (-0.012 -0.01)28.73% (-0.123 -0.12)
Both teams to score 59.53% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.97% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)42.03% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.57% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)64.43% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Vasteras SK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.16% (0.046999999999997 0.05)17.84% (-0.044 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.4% (0.076999999999998 0.08)48.6% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
IFK Norrkoping Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.46% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)27.54% (0.099 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.95% (-0.125 -0.13)63.05% (0.128 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Vasteras SK 47.64%
    IFK Norrkoping 28.73%
    Draw 23.63%
Vasteras SKDrawIFK Norrkoping
2-1 @ 9.41% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.47% (0.022 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.3% (0.029000000000001 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.41% (0.014 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.19% (0.023 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.49% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.33% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.81% (0.012 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.5% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 47.64%
1-1 @ 10.92%
2-2 @ 6.07% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.91% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.5% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.63%
1-2 @ 7.04% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-1 @ 6.34% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.09% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.03% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.61% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.76% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-4 @ 0.98% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 28.73%

How you voted: Vasteras vs Norrkoping

Vasteras SK
27.3%
Draw
36.4%
IFK Norrkoping
36.4%
11
rhs 2.0


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