Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kalmar win with a probability of 42.9%. A win for Vasteras SK had a probability of 32.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kalmar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.86%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Vasteras SK win was 1-2 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.