Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 11
May 27, 2024 at 6pm UK
PlatinumCars Arena (Norrkoping)

Norrkoping
0 - 4
Varnamo


Eid (33'), Lushaku (41')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Samuel Kalu (15', 69'), Engvall (73'), Johansson (90+2')
Junior Adjei (55'), Lohikangas (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Swedish Allsvenskan clash between IFK Norrkoping and Varnamo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

IFK Norrkoping

All competitions
Last Game: Brommapojkarna 2-1 Norrkoping
Sunday, May 19 at 1pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Varnamo

All competitions
Last Game: Varnamo 0-2 Kalmar
Sunday, May 19 at 3.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a IFK Norrkoping win with a probability of 44.21%. A win for Varnamo had a probability of 31.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a IFK Norrkoping win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Varnamo win was 1-2 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Varnamo would win this match.

Result
IFK NorrkopingDrawVarnamo
44.21% (-0.099999999999994 -0.1)24.58% (0.276 0.28)31.21% (-0.17 -0.17)
Both teams to score 57.74% (-1.046 -1.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.96% (-1.332 -1.33)45.04% (1.338 1.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.61% (-1.29 -1.29)67.39% (1.297 1.3)
IFK Norrkoping Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.53% (-0.592 -0.59)20.47% (0.598 0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.05% (-0.953 -0.95)52.95% (0.959 0.96)
Varnamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.61% (-0.76300000000001 -0.76)27.39% (0.769 0.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.14% (-1.001 -1)62.86% (1.008 1.01)
Score Analysis
    IFK Norrkoping 44.21%
    Varnamo 31.21%
    Draw 24.57%
IFK NorrkopingDrawVarnamo
2-1 @ 9.13% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.9% (0.345 0.34)
2-0 @ 7.05% (0.147 0.15)
3-1 @ 4.83% (-0.093 -0.09)
3-0 @ 3.73% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.13% (-0.131 -0.13)
4-1 @ 1.92% (-0.073 -0.07)
4-0 @ 1.48% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.24% (-0.075 -0.08)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 44.21%
1-1 @ 11.51% (0.2 0.2)
2-2 @ 5.91% (-0.134 -0.13)
0-0 @ 5.61% (0.316 0.32)
3-3 @ 1.35% (-0.088 -0.09)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.57%
1-2 @ 7.46% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-1 @ 7.26% (0.259 0.26)
0-2 @ 4.7% (0.068 0.07)
1-3 @ 3.22% (-0.083 -0.08)
2-3 @ 2.55% (-0.116 -0.12)
0-3 @ 2.03% (-0.015 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.04% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 31.21%

How you voted: Norrkoping vs Varnamo

IFK Norrkoping
29.2%
Draw
20.8%
Varnamo
50.0%
24
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 26
Varnamo
2-1
Norrkoping
Zeljkovic (52', 70')
Zeljkovic (76')
Andri Sigurgeirsson (25')
Ceesay (5'), Eriksson (64')
Apr 16, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 3
Norrkoping
2-1
Varnamo
Sigurdsson (15', 47')
Lund (45+3' og.)
Oct 24, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 28
Varnamo
1-1
Norrkoping
Antonsson (89')
Shabani (14')
May 2, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 6
Norrkoping
2-0
Varnamo
Levi (55'), Nyman (73')
Ekpolo (58'), Carlos de Brito (76'), Nyman (88')