Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Varnamo win with a probability of 41.36%. A win for Sirius had a probability of 33.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Varnamo win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.75%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Sirius win was 1-2 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Varnamo	Draw	Sirius
41.36% ( 0.11)	24.94% ( 0.02)	33.71% ( -0.13)

Both teams to score 57.46% (

-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.18% (

-0.14)

45.82% (

0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.87% (

-0.13)

68.14% (

0.13)

Varnamo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.88% (

-0)

22.12% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.51% (

-0.01)

55.49% (

0.01)

Sirius Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.78% (

-0.14)

26.22% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.69% (

-0.19)

61.32% (

0.2)

Score Analysis

Varnamo 41.36%

Sirius 33.71%

Draw 24.93%

Varnamo	Draw	Sirius
2-1 @ 8.84% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.75% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 6.6% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.44% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.32% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.98% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.68% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.25% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.12% ( -0) Other @ 2.38% Total : 41.36%	1-1 @ 11.71% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.8% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.93%	1-2 @ 7.84% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.76% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.2% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.5% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.28% Total : 33.71%