Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mjallby AIF win with a probability of 45.96%. A win for Sirius had a probability of 29.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mjallby AIF win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Sirius win was 0-1 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mjallby AIF would win this match.