Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mjallby AIF win with a probability of 45.96%. A win for Sirius had a probability of 29.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mjallby AIF win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Sirius win was 0-1 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mjallby AIF would win this match.

Result
Mjallby AIF	Draw	Sirius
45.96% ( 0.07)	24.91% ( -0.04)	29.13% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 55.44% (

0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.47% (

0.17)

47.53% (

-0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.26% (

0.16)

69.74% (

-0.16)

Mjallby AIF Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.27% (

0.1)

20.73% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.65% (

0.16)

53.35% (

-0.16)

Sirius Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.94% (

0.06)

30.06% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.81% (

0.08)

66.19% (

-0.08)

Score Analysis

Mjallby AIF 45.96%

Sirius 29.13%

Draw 24.91%

Mjallby AIF	Draw	Sirius
1-0 @ 9.81% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.27% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.72% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.86% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.05% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.92% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.91% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.59% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.67% Total : 45.96%	1-1 @ 11.78% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.23% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.57% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.91%	0-1 @ 7.49% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.08% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.5% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.84% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.8% ( -0) Other @ 3.18% Total : 29.13%