Hammarby
Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 11
May 26, 2024 at 1pm UK
Tele2 Arena

Hammarby
3 - 0
Sirius

Toure (44'), Tekie (57'), Dukanovic (90')
Pinas (17'), Tekie (54')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Castegren (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Swedish Allsvenskan clash between Hammarby and Sirius, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hammarby

All competitions
Last Game: Hammarby 2-1 AIK
Sunday, May 19 at 1pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Sirius

All competitions
Last Game: Sirius 0-0 Vasteras
Monday, May 20 at 6pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hammarby win with a probability of 52.92%. A win for Sirius had a probability of 24.29% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hammarby win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.97%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Sirius win was 1-2 (6.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hammarby would win this match.

Result
HammarbyDrawSirius
52.92% (0.024999999999999 0.02)22.79% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)24.29% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 58.3% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.2% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)41.79% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.8% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)64.19% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Hammarby Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.18% (0.0039999999999907 0)15.82% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.01% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)44.99% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Sirius Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.26% (-0.02600000000001 -0.03)30.74% (0.026999999999997 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)67% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Hammarby 52.92%
    Sirius 24.29%
    Draw 22.78%
HammarbyDrawSirius
2-1 @ 9.75% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-0 @ 8.97% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.27% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.99% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 5.08% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.54% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.76% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 2.34% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-2 @ 1.63% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 1.02%
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 52.92%
1-1 @ 10.57%
2-2 @ 5.75% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-0 @ 4.86% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.39% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.78%
1-2 @ 6.24% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-1 @ 5.74%
0-2 @ 3.38% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.45% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.26% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.33% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 24.29%

How you voted: Hammarby vs Sirius

Hammarby
100%
Draw
0.0%
Sirius
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Oct 30, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 28
Hammarby
2-2
Sirius
Besara (40'), Dukanovic (60')
Kurtulus (11'), Gul (23')
Alsanti (90+2'), Castegren (90+5')
Voelkerling-Persson (90+5'), Mattiasson (90')
Jul 9, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 14
Sirius
1-2
Hammarby
Matthews (41')
Erabi (37'), Hammar (74')
> Preview
Oct 20, 2022 6.30pm
Gameweek 27
Hammarby
1-1
Sirius
Nilsson (58')
Stensson (75')
Apr 25, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 5
Sirius
0-3
Hammarby

Bjorkstrom (74')
Swedberg (41', 78'), Besara (46')
Kurtulus (13'), Swedberg (45')
Oct 27, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 25
Sirius
0-1
Hammarby

Hellborg (27'), Girmai (34'), Mathisen (56')
Magyar (26')
Outtara (34'), Paulinho (90')