Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 14
Jul 14, 2024 at 1pm UK
Tele2 Arena

Djurgarden
1 - 0
Varnamo

Hummet (17')
Sabovic (42'), Ekdal (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Junior Adjei (24'), Alshalkadi (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Swedish Allsvenskan clash between Djurgardens IF and Varnamo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Djurgardens IF

All competitions
Last Game: Norrkoping 1-3 Djurgarden
Monday, July 8 at 6pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Varnamo

All competitions
Last Game: Varnamo 2-0 Goteborg
Sunday, July 7 at 1pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Djurgardens IF win with a probability of 58.87%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Varnamo had a probability of 19.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Djurgardens IF win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.43%) and 2-0 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%), while for a Varnamo win it was 1-2 (5.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Djurgardens IF would win this match.

Result
Djurgardens IFDrawVarnamo
58.87% (0.275 0.27)21.43% (0.024999999999999 0.02)19.7% (-0.301 -0.3)
Both teams to score 56.41% (-0.593 -0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.74% (-0.547 -0.55)41.26% (0.54799999999999 0.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.34% (-0.559 -0.56)63.66% (0.559 0.56)
Djurgardens IF Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.29% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)13.71% (0.093 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.05% (-0.186 -0.19)40.94% (0.187 0.19)
Varnamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.36% (-0.61799999999999 -0.62)34.63% (0.619 0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.64% (-0.661 -0.66)71.35% (0.661 0.66)
Score Analysis
    Djurgardens IF 58.87%
    Varnamo 19.7%
    Draw 21.43%
Djurgardens IFDrawVarnamo
2-1 @ 9.94% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.43% (0.201 0.2)
2-0 @ 9.37% (0.167 0.17)
3-1 @ 6.58% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 6.21% (0.09 0.09)
3-2 @ 3.49% (-0.068 -0.07)
4-1 @ 3.27% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-0 @ 3.09% (0.034 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.73% (-0.04 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.3% (-0.012 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.23% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 58.87%
1-1 @ 10% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.27% (-0.083 -0.08)
0-0 @ 4.75% (0.117 0.12)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 21.43%
1-2 @ 5.3% (-0.066 -0.07)
0-1 @ 5.03% (0.04 0.04)
0-2 @ 2.67% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.87% (-0.056 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.86% (-0.061 -0.06)
0-3 @ 0.94% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 19.7%

How you voted: Djurgarden vs Varnamo

Djurgardens IF
91.3%
Draw
8.7%
Varnamo
0.0%
23
Head to Head
Sep 16, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 23
Djurgarden
1-2
Varnamo
Finndell (46')
Fallenius (48'), Finndell (85'), Vaiho (87'), Schuller (88'), Gracia (90+4')
Zeljkovic (5', 69')
Thern (88'), Rasheed (90+2')
Jul 8, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 14
Varnamo
1-2
Djurgarden
Engvall (7')
Lohikangas (39')
Schuller (69'), Berg (77' pen.)
Lofgren (50'), Asoro (90+5')
> Preview
Aug 7, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 17
Varnamo
0-0
Djurgarden
Edvardsson (90+4')
Jul 16, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 14
Djurgarden
5-0
Varnamo
Radetinac (15'), Eriksson (30', 67'), Banda (52'), Edvardsen (90+1')